One of the most terrifying acronyms in
the world is IED, or Improvised Explosive Device. First coined by the British
in the 1970s, when the IRA demonstrated its expertise in homemade fertilizer
bombs, the term IED has come to symbolize a new form of warfare, where death
can come at any moment from a device buried in the ground or an
innocent-looking car parked at the corner.
But if you thought IEDs were bad, get
ready for an even more horrifying acronym: the IND, or Improvised Nuclear
Device.
What is an IND? If you’ve seen any movies or books where the terrorists or the
super villains build a nuclear bomb and hold the world hostage, then you know
what an IND is.
And here is what an IND can
do, according to a U.S. Department of Homeland Security hypothetical
scenario for a nuclear 9/11. If a terrorist group were to build a
ten-kiloton bomb (the Hiroshima bomb was just fifteen kilotons) using nuclear
materials smuggled into the United States, and detonate it in a major city,
there would be one hundred thousand casualties as well as contamination of as
much as three thousand square miles.
Ever since James Bond stopped
SPECTRE from stealing nuclear weapons in the 1965 film Thunderball, the world has
been waiting for a terrorist nuclear attack. In fact, there have been so many
studies, predictions and warnings about INDs that they have become a sort of
nonstop fire alarm for what everyone assumes is inevitable. Nonetheless, just
this past April, President
Obama reminded us that a terrorist nuclear attack would “change our
world"
Pointing to chemical weapons
used by ISIS in Syria, Obama warned
that “there is no doubt that if these mad men ever got their hands on a nuclear
bomb or nuclear material they would certainly use it to kill as many people as
possible. . . . The single most effective defense against
nuclear terrorism is fully securing this material so it doesn’t fall into the
wrong hands in the first place.”
The problem is that there is a
cornucopia of nuclear materials out there, including former Soviet stockpiles
in Russia, and unstable nations like Pakistan. The terrorists might not even
have to build or steal a bomb. They just need to purchase one from a rogue,
cash-starved state such
as North Korea. Isn’t it comforting to know that all that money ISIS
got from bootlegged oil and looted ancient artifacts could buy a ready-made
bomb, like some kind of takeout meal?
Not that terrorists even need
the smarts to trigger a nuclear explosion. Here’s another acronym that’s likely
to make the headlines one of these days: RDD, or Radiological Dispersal Device.
Merely detonating a “dirty bomb”—an explosive device that spreads radioactive
materials—would cause some damage and much more panic.
What’s interesting is how the
U.S. government defines an IND. A somewhat convoluted definition appeared this
September in the Pentagon’s Joint Publication 3-42:
Joint Explosive Ordnance Disposal, which governs explosive ordnance
disposal across the U.S. armed forces. JP 3-42 defined an IND as:
a device incorporating fissile
materials designed or constructed outside of an official government agency that
has, appears to have, or is claimed to be a nuclear weapon that is no longer in
the control of a competent authority or custodian or has been modified from its
designated firing sequence.
The Federal Emergency
Management Agency’s 2008
description of an IND is more straightforward:
An IND is an illicit nuclear
weapon bought, stolen, or otherwise originating from a nuclear State, or a
weapon fabricated by a terrorist group from illegally obtained fissile nuclear
weapons material that produces a nuclear explosion. The nuclear yield achieved
by an IND produces extreme heat, powerful shockwaves, and prompt radiation that
would be acutely lethal for a significant distance. It also produces
radioactive fallout, which may spread and deposit over very large areas. If a
nuclear yield is not achieved, the result would likely resemble an RDD in which
fissile weapons material was utilized.
Note that according to these
definitions, an Improvised Nuclear Device is any nuclear weapon built or
acquired by a nongovernmental group, even if the bomb itself was manufactured
by a nation like Pakistan or Russia. In other words, what makes an IND
“improvised” isn’t that it’s jury-rigged or amateurish, but rather that whoever
controls it isn’t an official government agency. One wonders whether the
victims of an IND would be comforted by the thought that that bomb was just an
improvised one.
If there is any consolation
about an IND, it’s this: there won’t be a lot of them. Every day, there is
another report of an IED going off in Syria or Afghanistan or Iraq. Rest
assured that there won’t be INDs going off every day. If there are, we will
have a new acronym: EHS, or Extinct Human Species.
Michael
Peck is a frequent contributor to the National Interest and is a regular writer
for many outlets like WarIsBoring
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