Rich dividends in terms of peace and
development can be reaped if South Asian countries in general, and India and
Pakistan in particular, work together. Many legacy issues, particularly the
dispute over Kashmir, have hampered cooperation between India and Pakistan, and
the overall development of South Asia. This does not augur well for the search
for a unified geo-political and geo-economic South Asia. The famous observation
by Israel’s former Foreign Minister Abba Eban that “history teaches us that men
and nations behave wisely once they exhaust all other alternatives” holds true
for India and Pakistan.
After much-postured hostility, the
Indo-Pakistani dialogue process was renewed recently when the Prime Ministers
of India and Pakistan, Narendra Modi and Nawaz Sharif, respectively, met in
Paris on 30 November 2015 and in Lahore on the following Christmas Day. The
joint statement issued at Bangkok after a meeting between the National Security
Advisors of India and Pakistan on 6 December 2015, was brief and beautiful. It
said that the discussions were guided by the vision of the two prime ministers
for a peaceful, stable and prosperous South Asia The discussions covered peace,
terrorism, Jammu and Kashmir and tranquillity along the Line of Control. This
was followed by the visit by India’s External Affairs Minister Sushma Swaraj to
Pakistan on 9 December 2015.
In this new political climate,
powerful appeals have been made in the Indian State of Jammu and Kashmir for
the start of a structured dialogue with all shades of opinion in the erstwhile
princely state of Jammu and Kashmir (which includes Pakistan-occupied Kashmir –
styled in Pakistan as ‘Azad Jammu and Kashmir’). The fact is that the pro-India
stances of votaries on the Kashmir problem are rooted in a rigid, monolithic
conception of sovereignty when the contending perspectives of India and
Pakistan have led to a stalemate. The new comprehensive dialogue offers
opportunities to explore suitable alternatives to conventional thinking.
Enlightened Sovereignty in South Asia
In an increasingly interdependent
world, absolute sovereignty based on exclusive national territories appears to
be an outdated concept. The attacks on sovereignty are manifold, most
prominently from the advocates of open economy and free trade. The core value
of equal sovereign status for all states preserved the notion of national
interest in the post-Second World War architecture of international politics.
Today, national interest cannot be isolated from other pressing concerns –
economic, political and ethical. It is in this sense that there are many
contestations over the idea of sovereignty. South Asia needs to promote the
concept of ‘enlightened sovereignty’ as a panacea for its myriad problems. This
can lead to an end to social marginalisation and a lowering of nationalist
posturing, which have been a drag on the egalitarian evolution of the
sub-continent over the past six decades. Enlightened sovereignty would mean
accommodating the legitimate autonomy-urges of the peripheral identity-groups
in a spirit of friendship among the countries of the region, on the basis of
sovereign equality and non-interference in domestic matters.
The fact is that the countries in
South Asia have their share of problems where state sovereignty comes under
attack from marginalised groups. Pakistan has its sovereignty-related issues
and dispute with India over Siachen and Kashmir. India faces sub-national
movements in its north- eastern region as well as in Kashmir, over issues of
sovereignty or otherwise. The Tamil movement in Sri Lanka is largely a
territorial-sovereignty contest that has so far evaded solution even after the
LTTE got militarily defeated. Modern South Asian states, being geographically
contiguous, have also experienced border disputes which have sometimes turned
violent. The culture of neatly- defined borders finds little resonance in some
quarters in South Asia. There is growing consciousness, in such quarters, that
the current borders are colonial legacies. The point is not to make borders
irrelevant and render sovereignty ineffective. Instead, it is merely an attempt
to face up to the complex nature of sovereignty in the region. Some scholars
have also advanced the concept of “new sovereignty”. It would entail that
sovereignty is on loan to the state from the people. It recognises individual
and group rights. It also means that governments are losing control of the
minds of the people.1
By arguing for enlightened
sovereignty, one is only thinking innovatively in terms of a new social
contract in the region. This may help in rescuing the Kashmir dispute from
high-voltage geo-politics and rendering it merely into the problem of the
people of Jammu and Kashmir – making it easier to resolve. After the Partition
of 1947, which brought untold suffering to millions on both sides of the
freshly drawn India-Pakistan borders, secession in South Asia was slated to
become a dirty word. In the backdrop of new notions of security and enlightened
sovereignty, home-grown models of conflict-resolution like autonomy/self-rule
could be employed for ensuring lasting peace in the region. Many important
confidence-building measures (CBMs) like the across-the-Line-of-Control
(across-LOC) bus travel and trade contacts between the two parts of Jammu and
Kashmir have survived the terrorist attacks in Mumbai in September 2008, which have
been traced to perpetrators in Pakistan and which pushed the peace process into
a severe deadlock. The years 2003 to 2007 were times of constructive engagement
between the two countries.
Conflict Transformation
Traditionally, India and Pakistan
have pursued policies on Kashmir around their concerns regarding territoriality
and sovereignty. The Kashmir issue was taken to United Nations and fought there
for decades only in the cause of furtherance of territorial demands.2 This led
to wars, and in 1971 there was the breakup of Pakistan. For the last thirty
years or so, Pakistan has engaged India in a low-intensity war over and in
Kashmir, which has debased the life, culture, economy and social institutions
on the Indian side of the LOC in Kashmir and brought untold miseries to the
people. In the year 2015 alone, five hundred persons died due to hypertension,
which is higher than the reported cases of killings due to violence. Kashmir,
known for its beauty and rich resources, has turned into a landscape of defence,
zone of subversion, interdiction and exclusion. The famed valley has fallen
prey to a psychology of fear and hate, and drifted towards a non- pluralist
culture.
However, since the phase of
India-Pakistan peace process around 2003, with the agreed ceasefire commencing
along both the Line of Control and the International Border/working border, we
witnessed an incremental shift in the policies of the rival states. India and
Pakistan were able to understand that the resolution of problems between them could
only be an evolutionary process, and hence the need for a formal and structured
dialogue was felt.3 This was the beginning of a composite dialogue between
India and Pakistan. With it, many people-centric confidence- building measures
were undertaken. The drivers of that peace process – like trade, people-to-
people contacts and cross-LoC movement of people (particularly of the divided
families) – helped in conflict-management. The actors in the Track-2 circuit
and the India-Pakistan back-channel process helped in providing policy-relevant
inputs which resulted in enhancing the peace process.4 These efforts largely
helped in managing and also transforming the conflict in Kashmir.
Conflict-transformation means support for the groups in conflict, as opposed to
mediation by outsiders. The process of conflict-transformation is inspired by
the values of peace, justice, and truth. There are many conflict-transformers,
and the context of a conflict itself can help in the process. The context of
the Kashmir conflict had of course shifted at the local and regional levels,
enhancing the possibilities of resolving the conflict through the use of new
models. Raia Prokhovnik had advocated the post-state model that recognises the
diversity of forms of polity below and above the state-paradigm, and allows for
periodic revisiting of an actor’s position in international relations: this, in
view of today’s global reach across conventional borders, is a fluid rather
than a fixed model.5This very much fits into the concept of enlightened
sovereignty advocated as the way-forward for India and Pakistan.
Back-Channel Talks on Kashmir
Pakistan’s Kashmir policy underwent
a shift during the tenure of former President General Pervez Musharraf who
favoured an out-of-the-box solution. He remained focused on issues related to
Jammu and Kashmir. He had no constraints of operating under the democratic
pressures of party politics. Mr Nawaz Sharif, too, in his earlier tenure as a
democratically-elected Prime Minister, had played a very important role in
changing the regional atmospherics over the Jammu and Kashmir issue. In 1995,
he reportedly told India’s then Prime Minister Inder Kumar Gujral at Male: “we
cannot take Kashmir by force, and you cannot give it peacefully; we have to
find a way to span the distance”.
The fact was that Pakistan had
slowly started recognising the costs of perpetual hostility with India, and
what was being attempted was to remove the ideological cover that portrayed
India as a permanent enemy of Pakistan. In that context, Atal Behari Vajpayee,
as Prime Minister of India, travelled to Pakistan, visiting Minar-i-Pakistan (where
the resolution for Pakistan as a separate state was passed), and, in the
visitors’ register, he wrote that ‘a strong Pakistan is in India’s interest’.
Equally heroic was the assurance of Nawaz Sharif, as Prime Minister, that
Pakistani soil would not be used for carrying out any terrorist activity
against India. However, after Pakistan’s Kargil misadventure, India-Pakistan
relations experienced a dip again. The Indian government decided to remain
engaged with Pakistan, and General Musharraf, as military ruler, was able to
build on the then existing peace infrastructure. Overall, Musharraf’s era
marked a strategic shift in Pakistan’s Kashmir policy.
Though the democratic government
under People’s Party of Pakistan in 2008 did not make any advancement on the
Musharraf-formulations, there were sections of opinion in Pakistan which wanted
comprehensive discussions on those proposals.6 Some influential Pakistanis felt
that what the general had said could be a strong confidence-building measure.
During my visit to Pakistan to attend the Pugwash meeting in 2013, a seasoned
diplomat [of an unspecified country] told me that the problem with General
Musharraf’s formulations was their being associated with his name.
They need to be re-packaged as a
formula independent of any name-affiliation, and have to be converted into
either a three- or a five-point formula.7 Addressing a group of newspaper
editors at an Iftar dinner in Islamabad on 25 October 2004, Musharraf had
called for a national debate on new options for the Kashmir dispute. Musharraf
had indeed publicly stated on 17 December 2003 itself that “even though we are
for UN resolutions, now we have left that aside in our search for a lasting
solution to Kashmir”. In an interview to an Indian TV channel, NDTV, he reportedly
elaborated his ideas by saying [a] Kashmir will have the same borders but
people will be allowed to move back and forth in the region [b] the region will
have self-governance or autonomy but not independence [c] troops will be
withdrawn from the region in a staggered manner [d] a joint supervision
mechanism will be set up, with India, Pakistan and Kashmir represented on it.8
The proposals were believed to have been discussed, in a confidential fashion,
through back-channel diplomacy, considering the sensitive character of
Kashmir-related matters. The back-channel instrumentality was also employed
earlier by Mr Sharif and Mr Vajpayee in 1999, when R K Mishra and Niaz A Naik
started talking to each other.
The Musharraf formulation has not
had many takers, either in Pakistan or in India. Some critics termed it a
single-window clearance system as no public opinion was elicited through media
or discussion in parliament. The fact of the matter is that these proposals had
an impact on Pakistan’s traditional Kashmir policy, and were considered by
sections of opinion within Pakistan to be the result of Pakistan’s weakness. In
Jammu and Kashmir, the hard-line separatist leader Syed Ali Shah Geelani
opposed these proposals for similar reasons. With Gen Musharraf’s exit
following the lawyers’ agitation in Pakistan, his new discourse on Kashmir
evaporated. This also explains why the succeeding governments like that of Asif
Ali Zardari could not go along with these proposals. During a Track-2
India-Pakistan meeting in New Delhi, I heard some influential Pakistanis say
that, while the Musharraf formula had limitations, it would not be good for one
government to disown the work of another.9
While the governments in Pakistan
have failed to fulfil many of the assurances given to India on different
issues, including terror-related cases, resulting in Manmohan Singh not being
able to visit Pakistan during his two terms as India’s Prime Minister. The
Indian Government could have been more circumspect in dealing with the post-Musharraf
government which was led by the Pakistan People’s Party. India should have
displayed some flexibility while dealing with Pakistan after the end of the
Musharraf era. The difficulties emerged, when the Government of India
apparently hinted to the Zardari-led government that talks with Pakistan could
take off from where General Musharraf had left them, without giving serious
thought to the difficulties for a democratic government to endorse the
Musharraf proposals which, after all, were worked out in secrecy and without
adequate deliberation among all the stakeholders. The dialogue might have
continued under the Pakistan People’s Party Government on the issues that
already figured in the back- channels. Thereafter, there was a change of guard
in both countries. The Nawaz Sharif Government has remained fairly conciliatory
towards India and wants better trade relations. However, the Modi government,
which had made it clear that terrorism has to be an integral part of Indo-Pak
dialogue, has shown flexibility in its response to the continuity of bilateral
engagements. While India and Pakistan have decided to launch comprehensive
talks, they may have to make use of back-channel diplomacy again for a better
understanding on all issues related to Jammu and Kashmir.
Ufa Fiasco and Bangkok Bravery
The Joint Statement issued by India
and Pakistan, following discussions between the Prime Ministers of India and
Pakistan on the side-lines of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation’s summit at
Ufa in Russia in July 2015, did not go down well with the security
establishment in Pakistan. Many in Pakistan, where Kashmir commands great
attention, considered the Ufa Statement as something that would lead to
asymmetrical talks. The Sharif Government felt the heat for succumbing to Mr
Modi’s style of limited engagement, instead of moving back to the composite
dialogue process. This resulted in the cancellation of the planned talks
between the National Security Advisors in August 2015. The red-lines drawn by
India before the NSA-level talks created a stalemate.
India wanted the planned NSA-level
talks in August 2015 to focus on issues relating to terrorism. India did not
also want any continuation of contacts between Pakistan and the Kashmiri
Hurriyat (an amalgam of separatist parties). India later relaxed some of these
conditions, and the NSA-level talks at Bangkok covered issues like Kashmir,
terrorism and tranquillity along the Line of Control. This was followed by
India’s External Affairs Minister Sushma Swaraj’s visit to Islamabad. Mrs
Swaraj called for uninterrupted dialogue, and Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif’s
directive to his ministers and aides not to issue anti India statements
vitiating the new peace process resulted in the vital decision to start a
comprehensive dialogue. Mr Modi then paid a surprise visit to Pakistan to greet
his counterpart on his birthday. In Jammu and Kashmir, the positive
atmospherics thus generated encouraged both the separatist and unionist leaders
to ask for the inclusion of their viewpoints in the agenda of future engagement
between the two countries. The story from Ufa to Bangkok to Islamabad will not
be complete without taking note of what can be called the “Kasuri Moment” in
bilateral relations.
The release of the book written by
Pakistan’s former Foreign Minister Kasuri, in the presence of top Indian
political leaders, has contributed in its own way to factoring in the work
already done on bilateral issues. Mr Kasuri wrote that “we do not have to
reinvent the wheel, and negotiations must start from where we left them off. I
do not mind that a new government would like to put its own nameplate on it. In
fact there may be advantages in this, since the new government would thereby
acquire the ownership of the proposals worked out so diligently during our
tenure. There should not be insurmountable difficulties since there was
bi-partisan support for a negotiated settlement of Kashmir both in Pakistan and
India (at least at the time). A tinkering here and there with the proposals on
Kashmir outlined in the draft framework agreement is possible”.10 Even before
the Kasuri intervention, there were always debates on the reported four points
as a basis for a solution which would be practicable and could be presented as
a win-win outcome.
These suggestions were floated after
General Musharraf was no longer in power. Pakistan’s former Foreign Secretary
Riaz Ahmed Khan supported them albeit in a different shape. He stated: “If
there is to be a Kashmir settlement acceptable to all parties including the
Kashmiris it will need to include elements that were addressed in the
back-channel. They should be revisited, possibly in a more open format,
provided both prime ministers and credible representatives of Kashmir opinion
publicly commit themselves to the process. A bilaterally negotiated final
settlement will require an agreed modality for Kashmir participation and
approval, if and when achieved the settlement could be embodied in a
unanimously adopted UN Security Council resolution superseding existing
resolutions”.11
Factoring the Kashmir Discourse
The purported four-point formula
worked out in the peace process between 2003 and 2007 provided a much-needed
political space for all stakeholders in Jammu and Kashmir for further
discussions and consultations on the vexed Kashmir issue. This became easy due
to the perceived dilution of the dominant India-Pakistan narratives on Jammu
and Kashmir. The moderate Hurriyat, led by Mirwaiz Umar Farooq; the National
Conference, led by Farooq Abdullah; the People’s Democratic Party of Mufti
Sayeed and the People’s Conference, led by Sajad Gani Lone largely supported
the Musharraf formulations. The lone leader to oppose it was Syed Ali Shah
Geelani of the hard-line faction of the Hurriyat Conference.12 The Jammu
Kashmir National Conference supported the self-rule formula, but hastened to
add that it was akin to its greater-autonomy formula. The then party President
and former Chief Minister of the state, Omar Abdullah, claims that, during his
meeting with the then Pakistani President General Musharraf, the latter did not
find much difference between autonomy and self-rule. It is appropriate to
mention that the National Conference, as one of the oldest regional political
formations, has always favoured the continued accession of the state to the
Indian Union, on the basis of greater autonomy for Jammu and Kashmir.
The People’s Democratic Party, led
by Mufti Sayeed (who was Chief Minister from 2002 to 2005), took advantage of
the changing scenario, and presented his own ‘self-rule’ formula for a
resolution of the Kashmir conflict. His self-rule formula provides for a
political superstructure that integrates the region and empowers the
sub-regions. It emphasises economic integration across the India-Pakistan Line
of Control.13 Mirwaiz Umar Farooq of Hurriyat Conference said that self-
governance could never be a final solution. It could be a confidence-building
measure, like demilitarisation, towards an eventual solution.14 Earlier Prof
Abdul Gani Bhat of the moderate Hurriyat stated that “for us self-rule means
having an independent Election Commission, Supreme Court and Prime Minister”.
Mr Sajad Lone of the People’s Conference (once a constituent part of the
Hurriyat) also put forth his formula, side-lining the contentious issue of sovereignty.15
All the regional political formations, belonging either to the unionist or the
separatist shade, had tried to offer formulations, of course, influenced by the
changing narratives.
The internally-woven and articulated
formulations steered clear of the sovereignty angle, and also were in tune with
the global political mood. Both cross-LoC trade and people-to-people contacts
remained the highlight of all such proposals. Most of these proposals stress
the urge for transforming the dynamics of India-Pakistan conflict from a
zero-sum competition over Kashmir to a positive-sum situation in which both
sides would gain from a settlement of the dispute. According to the unionist
leaders, the difficulties arising out of the asymmetric India-Pakistan conflict
could be addressed only through this way. The Kashmir-based parties sought to
persuade both India and Pakistan to lift the ban over their bilateral trade to
improve the conditions of the common man in both countries. Fast-forward to
2015 after the agreement to begin comprehensive talks between India and
Pakistan: all political actors in Jammu and Kashmir have started warming up to
the emerging scenario. It has now been realised that voices from within Jammu
and Kashmir need to be heard seriously, and that purposeful dialogue could move
forward only then.
India-Pakistan Trade in a Changing Context
The great English political thinker
John Stuart Mill had argued that commerce was rapidly rendering war obsolete,
by strengthening and multiplying the personal interests which would be in
natural opposition to war. This is exactly the area where not only India and
Pakistan falter, but, as a matter of fact, the entire region of South Asia is
lagging behind. According to the World Bank’s Doing Business 2010 report, South
Asia ranks the lowest in terms of trading across borders, as the number of
documents required for export was the highest in the region. Indeed,
improvements in trade-facilitation measures are predicted to increase
intra-regional trade by about 60 per cent in South Asia.16
Most of the goods appearing on the
South Asian Free Trade Agreement’s negative list make their way across borders
via informal channels. The slow progress in implementing SAFTA has prompted
many countries in the region to initiate and engage in bilateral trade
agreements, some of which are more liberal and progressive compared to SAFTA.
The bilateral agreements in the region mostly feature India as a partner, for
example, the Indo-Sri Lanka Free Trade Agreement, Bhutan-India Free Trade Agreement,
India-Afghanistan Preferential Trade Agreement, India-Bangladesh Bilateral
Trade Agreement and India-Nepal Treaty of Trade. The only bilateral free trade
agreement in the region to which India is not a party is between Pakistan and
Sri Lanka. Another disturbing trend is that both Pakistan and India are not
part of any sub- regional arrangement. After the loss of many decades in mutual
hostility, there is a fascination for following the ‘China-India Model’ in
regard to the India-Pakistan relationship as well. India’s former External
Affairs Minister K Natwar Singh is credited with popularising the term ‘China
Model’.17 In his view, only economic ties and people-to-people contacts could
lead to a satisfactory political outcome of the Kashmir issue.
Pakistan can learn from India’s
example of forsaking its revisionism against China in order to benefit from
trade with China and Chinese investment. Strategic-affairs expert C Raja Mohan
argues that the intention is to put all the bilateral differences to one side
and allow economics to drive the relationship. This does not mean that the
disputes will never be resolved but it does raise the cost of not resolving
them. China and India have created powerful new stakeholders on both sides for
a stable bilateral relationship. By any measure, this is a solid example for
New Delhi and Islamabad to emulate.18 There are people in Pakistan, too, who
exercise influence and have been part of its establishment, and who strongly
disapprove of any military confrontation between Pakistan and any country.
They have been suggesting forward
movement on the economic and other soft issues with India. Speaking at the
Pakistan Institute of International Affairs, former Foreign Secretary Riaz A
Khan stated: Military strength will not help us in the post-cold war era in a
world where there has been a paradigm shift to globalization, technological
revolution and knowledge-based societies. In the international order of today,
trade, economic cooperation and people-to-people cooperation are the norm.
China changed its position in the world not through military confrontation but
its economic strength. He further added that it was a pity that the concepts of
strategic assets would continue to dominate Pakistan’s foreign and defence
policies. He noted that strategic depth is offensive to the Afghans.19 After
taking over as Prime Minister of Pakistan in 2013, Mr Nawaz Sharif outlined
three priorities for his government: to pursue aggressive economic diplomacy in
a peaceful neighbourhood; to pursue growth and development; and to promote a
stable government in Afghanistan. Pakistan could leverage its geo-political
location as an economic bridge between the South Asian sub-continent, the
Persian Gulf, Central Asia and Western China.
During the heyday of an
India-Pakistan peace process before the terrorist attacks on Mumbai,
discussions on trade and commerce went on uninterrupted. After September 2011,
the Commerce Ministers of two countries have met four times to carry forward
the trade-and-commerce relations. India’s decision to unilaterally allow
Pakistani citizens and companies to invest in the Indian market is an important
gesture, signalling a strong commitment to deepen economic ties with an
important neighbour. It is widely believed that trade opens up new channels of
communication. Lobbies develop that contribute to bringing even inimical
neighbours to shed their past habits.
India-Pakistan trade is going to get
a big boost, with the Pakistan Government agreeing to dismantle the negative
list for trade between the two countries. However, Pakistan’s Finance Minister
Ishaq Dar recently said that bilateral ties would have to improve before the
Most Favoured Nation status could be given to India. For better trade
relations, it is essential that the existing information-barriers between two
countries should be removed and steps taken for the exchange of ideas. Besides,
it is necessary to implement the visa liberalisation regime, agreed to between
the foreign ministers of the two countries in 2012, which provide for special
non-reporting visa-access and multi-entry five-year visas for journalists.
Shahid Javed Burki, a Pakistani
economist, argues that four components are the keys to making South Asia a
well-integrated economic entity. First, bring back Pakistan into South Asia in
the economic sense. The 1949 trade embargo imposed by India on Pakistan pushed
the latter towards the United States of America, in a travesty of what
economists call the Gravity Model of trade. Second, it is important to open up
the Pakistani territory for use by India to trade with Afghanistan and beyond.
Third, link up various Asian countries through a network of oil-and-gas
pipelines and an electricity-grid so that energy flows from energy-surplus to
energy-deficient countries can take place. The private sector in India is
planning to lay an oil pipeline from a new refinery located in Bhatinda in
Indian Punjab to the Pakistani Punjab. Fourth, we need to mobilise resources to
build this huge infrastructure of pipelines.20 All these valuable steps will
help create a new climate of trust and confidence in the region and provide an
enabling environment for addressing divisive issues. Cooperation at a sub-
regional level between India and Pakistan, especially between the two Punjabs
will help reduce the exaggerated exceptionality of the intra- Kashmir trade.
Even otherwise, the border states of India and Pakistan have started playing an
active role in shaping the economic diplomacy of both these countries.
Trans-border Regionalism
A transformation has also taken
place due to the emergence of trans-border regionalism. After 1991, a new type
of collective interaction among sub-national states and international bodies,
multinational companies and foreign governments has become widespread. In
India, peripheral and border-states have demonstrated eagerness to integrate
and interact with their ethnic counterparts across borders.
This urge for greater commerce and
people-to-people contacts may help in not only regional harmony but also in defusing
certain tensions as well. There is a very strong body of scholarly opinion
advocating the need for new stakeholders in the India-Pakistan peace process,
especially the chief ministers of the border-states. The interaction between
the Chief Ministers of the two Punjabs recently has made it clearer.
New Delhi should also encourage the
woman Chief Minister of Rajasthan to reach out to her counterpart across the
border in the Sindh province of Pakistan. At Attari-Wagah border in April,
2012, the Chief Minister of Punjab, Prakash Singh Badal, underlined Punjab’s
interest in reconciliation with Pakistan. In September 2012, an 18-member
delegation led by Union Commerce Secretary S R Rao visited Pakistan with Punjab
Chief Secretary Rakesh Singh. It was decided to dismantle the negative list by
the end of October, and 600 items were to be traded through the Attari-Wagah
border. The Punjab Chief Secretary told the media that, with more items allowed
to be traded through the land route, the economy of the state would benefit a
lot. It was also decided to open Hussainwala and Abohar routes between India
and Pakistan and that the relics of Maharaja Ranjit Singh in Pakistan’s Punjab
be brought to Punjab in India for a six-month exhibition at the Gobindgarh
Fort. It was also decided that joint sporting events would be held between both
Punjabs. In the 2014 Indian parliamentary elections, Arun Jaitley (present
Union Finance Minister) contested from Amritsar, and he had a difficult time in
convincing the Punjab traders about the commitment of his party and coalition to
the issue of Punjab-Punjab cooperation. He lost from Amritsar, and the seat was
won by Amrinder Singh of Congress Party, who is an ardent advocate of
cooperation across regions in Punjab.
One way to make the cross-LoC trade
less contentious is to make it less exceptional. This can be done by persuading
India and Pakistan to reframe their frontier policies and mobilise stakeholders
in the border regions. From the Indian side, Punjab, Rajasthan and Kutch can be
the connectors of trade across the India-Pakistan divide. India needs to have a
strategic vision rooted in creating a large and vibrant Asian regional market.
This vision would mean strengthening Pakistan to be an effective regional hub
that connects the Asia-wide market. T
here is equally a feeling in Pakistan
that, due to the ethnic mix economic growth has to be regionally-balanced, and
that any such strategy has be rooted in history and geography. Ijaz Nabi, an
economist at the Lahore University of Management Sciences outlines the
strategic vision of trade between India and Pakistan as follows: the three
principal regions of modern-day Pakistan – Peshawar, Lahore and Upper Sindh –
were connectors of the lands to their west and north – Iran, Central Asia and
China – and those to the East, India, and, as such, became centres of trade,
commerce and culture. This flourishing activity made them growth nodes that
brought prosperity to their surrounding regions.21 The new bonhomie in Indian
Punjab for its Pakistani counterpart should make us understand how, in the
Malwa region, nearly hundred trucks carrying dry fruits and other items from
Afghanistan and Pakistan used to pass through Hussainwala before the 1971 war.
The cross-LoC trade in erstwhile
Jammu Kashmir state, at the theoretical level in particular, needs to be framed
in the discourse of theory on soft borders. The soft border concept moves
beyond state sovereignty, territory and borders, focusing on people, economy
and trade. Addressing a rally at the launch of the Amritsar-Nankana Sahib bus
service on 24 March 2006, India’s then Prime Minister Manmohan Singh said:
“borders cannot be redrawn but we can work towards making them just a line on
the map. People on both sides of the LoC should be able to move freely and
trade with one another. I also envisage the two parts of Kashmir can with
active encouragement of the governments of India and Pakistan work out a
cooperative and consultative mechanism in solving problems of social and
economic development of the region”.22 From 2005 the LoC was opened for movement
of divided families and later for trade, and the same mobility needs to be
addressed within the larger framework of regional/humane governance.
Humane Governance
Across the Line of Control trade,
and a non-territorial solution to the Jammu and Kashmir issue, needs to be
looked at, as a great leap forward, to enhance human security in a region that
has seen human, economic and social dislocation as a result of a conflict
between India and Pakistan. We have to situate the nation-state within the multi-layered
governance. The fact of the matter is that nation-states, according to Daniel
Bell, are too small to solve big problems, and too big to solve the small
problems.
The security establishments in India
and Pakistan need to understand that modern states are entering a period of
momentous change, in which the war of ideas and networks is overtaking the
established state. We need to nurture soldier-scholars who can find merit in
the power of ideas rather than in the hard power of the state. The fast-changing
regional geo-politics has important implications for the two parts of Kashmir
and their future. Though the hostile visa regimes of India and Pakistan
continue to be an obstacle, the traffic of divided families across the LoC has
been going on. The larger politics of the two countries notwithstanding, this
loosening of border-related restrictions has produced a sense of excitement and
opened a window of hope for all shades and sections of the Kashmiri society.
There is already a noticeable shift in thinking after the liberalisation in the
political and economic thinking of the people who are disenchanted with
insularity. The new and aspirational middle-class is open and globalised in its
outlook. The two parts of Kashmir have a history of outward-migration, mostly
to Europe and the Middle East. Over the years, the Kashmiri Diaspora has gained
in confidence, and accumulated economic resources with a strong sense to invest
in their homeland. English scholar Alexander Evans finds the internet, mobile
phone, cable- and satellite-TV channels, the rise of English-medium schools,
and an improved access to the Kashmir valley playing very important roles in
this re-imagination process.23 Further, the resilience of the people,
particularly the younger generation, has come to the fore after the recent
floods. A youthful and pulsating population, a vibrant and flourishing mass
media will also be the new building blocks in the process of re-imagination of
the Kashmir identity, if there is a due political recognition of this from the
nation-states of the region. The larger Kashmir question needs to be factored
into the new debate over territoriality and enlightened sovereignty in South
Asia so that disputes like that of Kashmir are resolved to the satisfaction of
all stakeholders.
About the author:
*Professor Gull Wani is Professor of Political Science at the University of Kashmir in India. The author, not the Institute of South Asian Studies (ISAS), an autonomous research institute at the National University of Singapore, is liable for the facts cited and opinions expressed in this paper.
Source:
This article was published by ISAS as ISAS Insights No. 313 – 11 February 2016 (PDF)
*Professor Gull Wani is Professor of Political Science at the University of Kashmir in India. The author, not the Institute of South Asian Studies (ISAS), an autonomous research institute at the National University of Singapore, is liable for the facts cited and opinions expressed in this paper.
Source:
This article was published by ISAS as ISAS Insights No. 313 – 11 February 2016 (PDF)
Notes:
1. Kurt Mills, Human Rights in the Emerging Global order: A New Sovereignty? Macmillan Press Limited, 1998, p. 44.
2. The first UN resolution on Jammu & Kashmir was passed on 17 January, 1948, calling upon India and Pakistan to exercise restraint. The last resolution (307) was passed in the wake of the 1971 India-Pakistan war.
3. Former Foreign Secretary of Pakistan Mr Shamshad Ahmed said during the Pugwash Conference on Jammu &Kashmir, Islamabad, 15-17 September 2013.
4. Lecture by Satinder K. Lambah, organised by UNESCO-Madanjeet Singh Institute of Kashmir Studies, Srinagar, 13 May 2014.
5. For details, see Raia Prokhovnik, Sovereignties: Contemporary Theory and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan, 2007.
6. Many Pakistani experts, who participated in the 3rd India-Pakistan Dialogue organized by Centre for Dialogue and Reconciliation, and Jinnah Institute, 13-14 March 2014, did discuss it.
7. Deliberations during the Pugwash Conference on Jammu &Kashmir, Islamabad, 15-17 September 2013.
8. Jawad Naqvi, Musharraf’s four stage Kashmir peace plan, Dawn, 6 December 2006.
9. 3rd India-Pakistan Dialogue organized by Centre for Dialogue and Reconciliation, New Delhi and Jinnah Institute, Pakistan, 13-14 March 2014.
10. Khurshid Mahmud Kasuri, Neither A Hawk Nor A Dove: An Insider’s Account of Pakistan’s Foreign Policy, Penguin Viking, 2015, pp. 358-359.
11. Quoted in Dawn, November 14, 2014.
12. Geelani opposes Musharraf’s Self-Rule, Times of India, January 15, 2006.
13. Jammu and Kashmir: The Self-Rule Framework for Resolution, Srinagar, October, 2008. pp 57-60
14. Kashmir Times, Srinagar, January 1, 2006.
15. Sajad Lone, Achievable Nationhood: A Vision Document on Resolution of the Jammu & Kashmir Conflict, Jammu Kashmir People’s Conference, 2006.
16. World Bank’s Doing Business Report, 2010, p. 157.
17. Rajesh Kumar, Getting to Rapprochement over Kashmir: Is Using the ‘China Model’ a Viable Alternative? Regional Centre for Strategic Studies, Colombo, 2007, p. 55.
18. C. Raja Mohan, Indo-Pak relations and the Chinese model, Observer Research Foundation, 10 April 2012.
Retrieved from: http://orfonline.org/cms/sites/orfonline/modules/analysis/AnalysisDetail.html?cmaid=35628&mmacmaid= 35629
19.Riaz Ahmed Khan, After Osama Bin Laden, Pakistan Institute of International Affairs, May 2011.
20. Shahid Javed Burki, Steps towards Greater South Asian Cooperation, Express Tribune, August 6, 2012. 21. IjazNabi, Lifting up the Indo-Pak trade game, The Hindu, March 28, 2012.
22. Dr Manmohan Singh’s address to a rally at the launch of Amritsar-Nankana Sahib bus service on 24 March 2006.
23. Interview with the author at Srinagar, June 2008. Also see Gull Wani, Kashmir: Identity, Autonomy and Self Rule, Gulshan Books, Srinagar, 2013, p. 66.
1. Kurt Mills, Human Rights in the Emerging Global order: A New Sovereignty? Macmillan Press Limited, 1998, p. 44.
2. The first UN resolution on Jammu & Kashmir was passed on 17 January, 1948, calling upon India and Pakistan to exercise restraint. The last resolution (307) was passed in the wake of the 1971 India-Pakistan war.
3. Former Foreign Secretary of Pakistan Mr Shamshad Ahmed said during the Pugwash Conference on Jammu &Kashmir, Islamabad, 15-17 September 2013.
4. Lecture by Satinder K. Lambah, organised by UNESCO-Madanjeet Singh Institute of Kashmir Studies, Srinagar, 13 May 2014.
5. For details, see Raia Prokhovnik, Sovereignties: Contemporary Theory and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan, 2007.
6. Many Pakistani experts, who participated in the 3rd India-Pakistan Dialogue organized by Centre for Dialogue and Reconciliation, and Jinnah Institute, 13-14 March 2014, did discuss it.
7. Deliberations during the Pugwash Conference on Jammu &Kashmir, Islamabad, 15-17 September 2013.
8. Jawad Naqvi, Musharraf’s four stage Kashmir peace plan, Dawn, 6 December 2006.
9. 3rd India-Pakistan Dialogue organized by Centre for Dialogue and Reconciliation, New Delhi and Jinnah Institute, Pakistan, 13-14 March 2014.
10. Khurshid Mahmud Kasuri, Neither A Hawk Nor A Dove: An Insider’s Account of Pakistan’s Foreign Policy, Penguin Viking, 2015, pp. 358-359.
11. Quoted in Dawn, November 14, 2014.
12. Geelani opposes Musharraf’s Self-Rule, Times of India, January 15, 2006.
13. Jammu and Kashmir: The Self-Rule Framework for Resolution, Srinagar, October, 2008. pp 57-60
14. Kashmir Times, Srinagar, January 1, 2006.
15. Sajad Lone, Achievable Nationhood: A Vision Document on Resolution of the Jammu & Kashmir Conflict, Jammu Kashmir People’s Conference, 2006.
16. World Bank’s Doing Business Report, 2010, p. 157.
17. Rajesh Kumar, Getting to Rapprochement over Kashmir: Is Using the ‘China Model’ a Viable Alternative? Regional Centre for Strategic Studies, Colombo, 2007, p. 55.
18. C. Raja Mohan, Indo-Pak relations and the Chinese model, Observer Research Foundation, 10 April 2012.
Retrieved from: http://orfonline.org/cms/sites/orfonline/modules/analysis/AnalysisDetail.html?cmaid=35628&mmacmaid= 35629
19.Riaz Ahmed Khan, After Osama Bin Laden, Pakistan Institute of International Affairs, May 2011.
20. Shahid Javed Burki, Steps towards Greater South Asian Cooperation, Express Tribune, August 6, 2012. 21. IjazNabi, Lifting up the Indo-Pak trade game, The Hindu, March 28, 2012.
22. Dr Manmohan Singh’s address to a rally at the launch of Amritsar-Nankana Sahib bus service on 24 March 2006.
23. Interview with the author at Srinagar, June 2008. Also see Gull Wani, Kashmir: Identity, Autonomy and Self Rule, Gulshan Books, Srinagar, 2013, p. 66.
No comments:
Post a Comment