Australia and the United States clearly differs on strategy, tactics,
and even interests in the Chinese position and the order of alliance in the
multilateral architecture. I would advise Washington to be aware of Australia
diverging from US policy priorities, to ensure the focus of the alliance remain
in the Asia-Pacific as the central hub for Asian regional order, and to view
China as a chance to leverage resources to accomplish shared objectives by
maximizing strategic cooperation in Southeast Asia.
Washington
and Australia need to better share the outlook and orientation in dividing
responsibilities for a more stable global order. America’s relationship with
China is marked by competition and cooperation, a vie for influence in Asia,
whereas Australia is more willing than the United States to accept a multipolar
order conceiving the Chinese presence as a “new status quo” in the Asia
Pacific. Beijing has been able to alter the status quo in the South China Sea
while avoiding a strong US response, and Australia interacts with China on
economic forums, such as the regional cooperative economic partnerships or
China’s Asian Infrastructure Bank, to which US is not a party.
Perhaps
this explains Australia’s position with Japan in the recent 2016 Defense White
Paper, as it cites “incremental iterations” of the security relationship
putting Japan in a different category than Australia’s allies, such as the
US and New Zealand. Australia is less determined than Japan to lock-in the
existing US-led regional order knowing Chinese increasing influence in the
region.
Australia
is also fully aware there is no guarantee for Washington to side with Canberra
on its regional priorities. With the increasing economic rise of Indonesia,
Washington may choose to actively collaborate with Indonesia rather than
Australia as a bulwark against China. Australia’s strategic culture and support
system come from regional allies, and it is increasingly taking the role of its
own “pivot” in an ascending Asia. The growing consensus, especially in the
younger generation, is to stay out of the East China Sea conflict. Washington
should be wary of “taking Australia for granted.” Australia often views
Washington as using “its strategic geographic location and military
capability as a force multiplier for its own military in Asia.”
Australia
acknowledges its strategic partnership with the US facilitates US military
asset access in Darwin and as a hub for training with other allies. US and
Australian security coordination on regional challenges, especially with the
Southeast Asian partners, will be vital in providing and expanding maritime
capabilities and underwriting its regional security nexus. Australian
participation does not need to occur within the disputed regions within the
South China Sea, but it can leverage its own military capabilities to the
interests of regional states and multilateral operations in the Indian Ocean or
the Coral Sea. Australia’s ability to police the maritime environment in the
Indian Ocean along the Silk Road will require closer cooperation with Indonesia,
Singapore, and other regional militaries. Australia’s regional maritime
security requirements will have to grow US-Australian alliances in facilities
where the US is not able to provide constant watch.
Australia
is more comfortable in allowing Beijing into an international order and a
leadership role, but also optimistic of America’s willingness to uphold the
regional global order. For Australia to maintain its role, it needs to preserve
the US-led order in Asia. While Australia remains confident in the US
capability and intent to maintain the current rules-based global order,
Australia seeks to play an “assistant” role to and refrains from challenging
the existing order. Therefore, it is interested in a model that gives an
explicit role to the United States and somewhat overstates US intent and
capability in defending the order.
Australia
and US should continue to collaborate on tailored maritime, air, and land
forces in regional stability and Southeast Asian partners with capacity
building, but Australia looks to participate under a framework with the focus
on primary operational areas, such as the Southeast Asia. The United States and
Australia should look into broadening the bilateral tie to a regional
cooperation with security cooperation efforts, at times, including China.
Grace Kim
is a policy pioneer with published research on human rights, cross-culturalism,
and maritime security. Currently employed at the Office of the Secretary, State
Department, she provides research support and strategic guidance to Secretary's
current and long-term foreign policy priorities.
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