The U.K. should respond
cautiously to calls for stronger ties with Japan.
Recent
tensions in East Asia have led to debates across the region about strategic
relationships with both China and Japan. There has been
little similar debate in Europe, but some are calling for the U.K. to engage in greater security
cooperation with Japan.
Given the
U.K.’s reduced military capacity and its commitments elsewhere, an enhanced
security relationship would have little material impact, but would be
politically symbolic in the region. This is precisely why Britain should
respond cautiously, in spite of the long-standing close ties between London and
Tokyo.
Arguments
for strengthening the U.K.-Japan relationship range from claims of shared
political values, the potential for collaboration in military technology or the
coordination of overseas development assistance, and the existence of shared
security challenges. For some in Japan, the recent execution of Japanese hostages
by the Islamic State has reinforced the case for a more assertive and
outward-looking security policy. Others invoke memories of the 1902
Anglo-Japanese Alliance, and a sentimental affinity between these two island
kingdoms.
Some also
point to a limited window of opportunity for enhancing U.K.-Japan security
cooperation, arguing that Japanese openness to this may not outlast the current
government of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe.
In our
view, however, the current state of Japanese politics dictates caution on
Britain’s part. Tokyo’s main motivation for seeking U.K. cooperation is to
secure an endorsement from a country still respected as an important global
player, for a foreign and security policy that is controversial both at home
and throughout the region. And notwithstanding references to a shared “Islamic
State threat,” it is really uncertainty over how to deal with the rise of China
which is driving Japanese security policy.
This
cannot be divorced from a recent trend towards growing nationalism and
historical revisionism with respect to Japan’s wartime past. Abe attempts to
present a statesmanlike and moderate face to the West – as witnessed by his April address to the U.S.
Congress. But his government’s education policies, its stance on the
wartime exploitation of comfort women, more general official slipperiness over
wartime atrocities, and manipulation of the domestic media have all contributed
to aggravating tensions with China and Korea, and to marginalizing those within
Japan who advocate a more robust and open reckoning with the legacy of war.
The
invoking of historical analogies with the 1902 alliance is also problematic.
That alliance was motivated by balance of power considerations at a time when
Britain had substantial commercial, territorial, and military interests in the
“Far East.” And it was ultimately ineffective in restraining Japanese regional
ambitions.
Today,
the U.S.-Japan alliance is similarly informed by “balance of power”
calculations. This is understandable for a Japan nervous about China’s rise,
but the U.K.’s interests today dictate wariness in contemplating closer
security collaboration with either side in the Sino-Japanese relationship.
While U.S. policy is driven by a desire to protect its considerable interests
and influence, the U.K., with no meaningful strategic presence in East Asia,
has nothing to gain from taking sides – and, potentially, much to lose.
In this
context, any move by London to embrace a new security partnership with Japan
risks being interpreted within East Asia as condoning the Abe regime’s policies
in general, and its historical revisionism in particular. When it comes to relations
with China, this represents an especially perilous course for Britain. In
Chinese public consciousness, Britain occupies a prominent position alongside
Japan in the gallery of the nation’s imperialist oppressors. A new U.K.-Japan
security partnership would likely reinforce this image of the U.K. amongst
Chinese, and have detrimental consequences for Sino-British relations.
This is
not to argue that, in declining to endorse the Abe regime, Britain should
position itself as unquestioningly “pro-China.” Far from it. Both Chinese and
Japanese approaches to territorial disputes over the Diaoyu/Senkaku islands
have adversely affected regional security, to the detriment of all countries
with interests in a secure and prosperous East Asia. Indeed, were a similar
offer of cozy bilateral security cooperation forthcoming from Beijing, London
should reject this too.
The
fundamental interest of the U.K. and Europe is in encouraging greater regional
stability. This requires better relations between Japan and China. Rather than
consider policies that could be construed as “containing” or “balancing”
Chinese power, the U.K. should work (ideally with the rest of the EU) to
encourage flexible adaptation to ongoing shifts in power distribution within
the region, withholding its backing from those who hanker after a mythical
“status quo.”
This
means, amongst other things, encouraging Tokyo to deal more “diplomatically” –
for want of a better word – with a rising China. It also means exhorting China
to demonstrate to Japan and others that its strategic intentions are benign.
And finally, it means using whatever influence Britain enjoys in Washington to
discourage the U.S. from heightening tensions by adopting a strategy of
“containment” vis-à-vis China, and pressing instead for more open and
constructive relationships across the region. Given East Asia’s growing global
importance, it is this approach that will best serve the U.K.’s long-term
security and prosperity.
Dr.
Edward Vickers is Associate Professor of Comparative Education at Kyushu
University, Japan. Dr. Tim Summers is Adjunct Assistant Professor at The
Chinese University of Hong Kong and a Senior Consulting Fellow on the Asia
Programme at Chatham House.
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