China's intensifying move to assert claims over the South China
Sea has given fresh impetus to a military buildup in Indonesia that will see
its forces deployed with greater focus on external risks.
After
years of concentrating on separatist threats across an archipelago long enough
to stretch from New York to Alaska, Indonesia plans to deploy attack
helicopters to its islands at the southern end of the South China Sea and
expand its naval power. The front-runner for July's presidential election, Joko
Widodo, aims to boost defence spending to 1.5 percent as a share of the
economy, which is Southeast Asia's largest.
The
strategy shift comes as China escalates disputes with the Philippines and
Vietnam, fellow members of the Association of Southeast Asean Nations. China's
standoff with Vietnam over an oil rig this month followed its 2012 success in
taking control of the Scarborough Shoal from the Philippines.
"The
focus in defence spending is moving to dealing with external threats,"
said Tim Huxley, executive director of the International Institute for
Strategic Studies in Singapore. "There is a concern from an Indonesian
perspective that the South China Sea should not become a Chinese lake and that
freedom of shipping should be maintained." That is influencing Indonesia's
defence spending and procurement, he said.
The
military is about 40 percent of the way to developing a minimum-essential
force, or MEF, by 2029, to guard its territory as it adds tanks, submarines,
helicopters and jet fighters to its arsenal, Deputy Defence Minister Sjafrie
Sjamsoeddin said in an interview in Jakarta. Under the MEF, the government is
seeking to acquire 274 Navy ships, 10 fighter squadrons and 12 new
diesel-electric submarines.
"We're
part of maintaining regional stability and peace and to maintain that we must
certainly have powers that support that regional strength," Mr Sjamsoeddin
said.
Indonesia
has sought to stay out of its neighbours' spats with China over the South China
Sea, and is not an official claimant to areas in dispute. But in recent months
it has said that China's interpretation of its nine dash-line map -- the basis
for its territorial claims -- is seeping into Indonesia's exclusive economic
zone.
Foreign
Minister Marty Natalegawa said in an interview in April that he wanted an
explanation of China's map and asked the United Nations to help obtain clarity.
Commodore
Fahru Zaini, assistant deputy to the chief security minister for defence
strategic doctrine, said in March that China's map included an "arbitrary
claim" to waters off the Natuna Islands in the Indonesian province of
Riau. "This dispute will have a large impact on the security of Natuna
waters," he said, according to Antara News.
Indonesia
has some 17,000 islands to police, stretched across 5300 kilometres from east
to west. The Malacca Strait that Indonesia shares with Malaysia is a key
shipping lane that links the economies of countries such as India, China and
Japan.
"It's
the largest country in Southeast Asia and they want to play what they think is
a corresponding role," Richard Bitzinger, senior fellow at the S.
Rajaratnam School of International Studies in Singapore, said. "You're not
going to get that unless you develop a sizable, modern military, because at
this point the military is pretty small potatoes."
Military
spending increased to 81.96 trillion rupiah ($US7.1 billion) in 2013 from 72.94
trillion rupiah in 2012, according to the Stockholm International Peace
Research Institute.
China's
defence budget will rise 12.2 percent this year to 808.2 billion yuan ($US129
billion). President Xi Jinping has made a navy with longer reach a priority to
boost China's claims in the South China Sea and East China Sea.
Despite
being a maritime country, Indonesia seeks to build a "balanced force"
between the army, the navy and the air force, Mr Sjamsoeddin said in the March
interview, as "eventually all battles end on land." Indonesia, which
is also spending on tanks, faced decades of internal discord in East Timor, an
independent nation since 2002.
Indonesia
isn't in an arms race and spends less than 1 percent of gross domestic product
on defence, compared with 3 percent to 4 percent among other Asean nations, Mr
Sjamsoeddin said. If countries in the region have heavy tanks then Indonesia should
have heavy tanks, said Mr Sjamsoeddin, 61, adding some military equipment in
use is older than he is.
Indonesia
will deploy four Boeing Apache attack helicopters to the Natuna Islands, IHS
Jane's reported on its website in March, citing General Budiman, the army's
chief of staff, as a pre-emptive measure against instability in the South China
Sea.
With
China more assertive in the southern part of the South China Sea, "the
Indonesian armed forces are strengthening their military presence on the Natuna
Islands, and that includes preparing facilities on the Natuna Islands to
accommodate jet fighters," said Ian Storey, senior fellow at the Institute
of Southeast Asian Studies in Singapore.
"During
the first decade of this century they were focused on combating internal
threats, that is separatism and terrorism," Mr Storey said. "But
they've been largely successful in containing those threats and I think now
they're focusing more outwards, focusing on external threats."
How
far Indonesia pushes back against China may depend on the presidential
election, with neither candidate detailing foreign policy goals so far. Widodo,
who will face off against a former general, Prabowo Subianto, pledged to boost
defence spending to 1.5 percent of GDP within five years, according to his
policy paper. Spending is now 0.9 percent of GDP, according to the Stockholm
International Peace Research Institute .
"There
seems to be a commitment to increasing defence spending, increasing Indonesia's
overall military strength, more in accordance to what they see is a normal,
large power in the region," Mr Bitzinger said. "They're increasingly
interested too in being able to be a modern military, to project power."
Washington Post
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