The recent Jakarta International Defense
Dialogue put Indonesia on the map in more ways than one. It confirmed Indonesia’s
effective role as a convener of international discussion on maritime security
issues — just as the Komodo naval exercise that was launched on Sunday will
reinforce Indonesia’s role as a hub for practical security collaboration.
The
defense dialogue was also the first international, government-sponsored
security conference to term the Asian strategic environment as the Indo-Pacific
region. In their speeches at the dialogue, Indonesian Vice President Boediono
and Defense Minister Purnomo Yusgiantoro were absolutely right to define the
region this way.
This
captures the growing economic and security links between the Pacific and Indian
oceans and the and geographic centrality of Indonesia and the Southeast Asian
sea lanes in a distinctly maritime regional order. From cooperation against
piracy off the coast of Somalia, to the multi-nation search for Flight MH370 in
the southern Indian Ocean, there is growing evidence of East Asian nations
having to grapple with security challenges in unfamiliar waters.
The Indo-Pacific
concept also puts Indonesia on the same page as Australia in the way it views
the changing region. This provides a foundation for efforts to repair and
advance relations between the two democracies after recent troubles. Last year,
Australia officially defined its region as the Indo-Pacific in the then-Labor
government’s Defense White Paper, and the Conservative government of Prime
Minister Tony Abbott is maintaining this perspective.
No
longer does Australia see its security challenges and opportunities as
concentrated narrowly in East Asia or the South Pacific. Like Indonesia,
Australia is a two-ocean power, and is seeking to build a partnership with an
emerging India. Australia also welcomes an Indonesia that is growing stronger,
including as a sea power.
At the
Jakarta dialogue, there was a striking similarity of views among Indonesian,
Australian, Japanese and Indian strategic analysts and policy makers on the
need for greater cooperation in the Indo-Pacific region. Avenues for this
include high-level diplomatic discussions — such as at the East Asia Summit —
and day-to-day interaction among navies.
At the
same time, Chinese delegates asked questions at the forum about whether the
Indo-Pacific is a way of defining Asia that downplays the role and rights of
their country. Such questions are based on a misconception about the
Indo-Pacific idea. Far from excluding China, it is deeply inclusive of Asia’s
largest economy and most powerful state. Indeed, the origins of the modern
Indo-Pacific strategic system lie precisely in the growth of China as a great
trading nation and its reliance on the Indian Ocean sea lanes for energy and
exports.
A
million Chinese now live and work in Africa. Chinese Premier Li Keqiang’s first
visit abroad in that role was to India. China is India’s largest trading
partner. In February, a Chinese navy taskforce transited the Sunda Strait to
conduct exercises, including combat simulation, in the Indian Ocean. New media
reports suggest a prolonged patrol by a Chinese nuclear-powered submarine in
the Indian Ocean late last year. And China is seeking to enhance its status as
an associate or participant in the Indian Ocean’s various diplomatic forums,
including the Indian Ocean Naval Symposium, a meeting of naval chief’s hosted in
recent days by the Australian navy in Perth.
These
are all reminders that the map of Asia is changing. The Indo-Pacific can best
be understood as a maritime super region centered on Southeast Asia, arising
from the expanding interests and reach of China, India and other growing Asian
economies, including Indonesia. Of course, such a vast region cannot be
dominated by any single power. As Indonesian Foreign Minister Marty Natalegawa
has argued, in calling for an Indo-Pacific treaty, security across this grand
region can be achieved only through cooperation.
In the
years ahead, peace and stability in the Indo-Pacific will require shared
understandings about China’s legitimate interests in the Indian Ocean, but also
India’s rights as a Pacific Ocean power. A stable regional future will also
require a widespread recognition that the South China Sea, part of the core
Indo-Pacific, is everybody’s business. Solutions to regional security tensions
that are based on unilateralism or coercion will end in tears.
Yet the
sheer scale of the Indo-Pacific is such that not every small and disparate
country, from Madagascar to Marshall Islands, can be expected to contribute
greatly to solving regional security problems. So the third way is needed, a
set of what might be called ‘minilateral’ arrangements for practical security cooperation
among a small number of key players.
What are
the principles choosing these partners? The way forward involves self-selection
with common interests to protect, capabilities to offer, and a willingness to
craft workable rules and understandings and then play by them. For example, it
would make great sense for Indonesia, India and Australia to deepen their
security dialogue on maritime issues, moving eventually to arrangements for
shared sea-surveillance and sharing of data.
When
their exceptionally difficult task is over, the lead countries involved in the
search for and salvage of MH370 might also work together to share lessons in
search and rescue and coordination of aerial missions. With the expansion of
the US Marines’ presence in Australia’s Northern Territory, the time may be
coming for the Australians and Americans to involve other Indo-Pacific partners
in training for disaster relief and other kinds of operations. Indonesia
would be a logical choice for a third partner.
Such
training, and other forms of minilateral cooperation, might sometimes include
China, sometimes not. Military confidence-building measures alone are not going
to eradicate strategic mistrust. China should certainly be invited to a wider
range of military cooperative activities in the region. But for as long as
tensions and uncertainties persist around China’s growing power and its
assertiveness against other states, Beijing’s protestations about other
countries’ security partnerships will need to be taken with a grain of Indo-Pacific
salt.
Rory
Medcalf is director of the international security program at the Lowy
Institute in Sydney. This article is based on his remarks at this year’s
Jakarta International Defense Dialogue
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