Prime Minister, Tony Abbott, is playing a
clever game of illegal boat chess while Bill Shorten is the boy looking on
without a clue how each man moves. This is how the game is panning out and the
Indonesian Government doesn’t even know, or care, that a chess game is going
on.
There is always an element of respect between militaries, in
third world nations they are often the only constant, and Abbott engaged our
military to operate on a diplomatic level for good reasons.
The Abbott Government has allowed itself to remain at arms
length from covert military negotiations, at least publicly, and the Indonesian
Government can safely be frozen out of the decision-making process... and
here’s why:
On April 9, Indonesia holds its general election and SBY’s
Democrats, many of whom are in jail over graft, bribery and corruption charges,
are unlikely to be returned leaving SBY as an administrative lame-duck President
until the July 9 Presidential elections when, after the conclusion of his three
terms and in a worsening economy, he must resign anyway.
(It’s ironic that half of Abbott’s obstructionist Senate
gets the boot at the same time.)
Indonesian election rules require a party, or a coalition,
to hold at least 20 percent of the seats or win at least 25 percent of the vote
in the April legislative election to qualify to nominate a Presidential
candidate.
SBY’s party may not even qualify as its polls dive and
candidates are forced to pay their own election expenses because the Democrats
have only been able to raise a war chest of the equivalent of $A4mil in rupiah.
So, not only is the current Government unlikely to win the
April 9 legislative election but may not attract sufficient votes to allow it
to even field a Presidential candidate later in the year.
SBY is now toying with nominating for Vice President and
that’s a desperate move that can’t succeed.
Tony Abbott has done something Bill Shorten and co. could
never have conceived of and, judging by their howls of criticism over a lack of
information, don’t even understand now.
Trying to conduct illegal boat diplomacy against a backdrop
of a ruling Party in survival mode is pointless and has resulted in no more
than an Indonesian Government “tough talking” to its diminishing
constituents.
They clearly don’t know, or even care, what is going on as
the military once again dons the cloak of an interim Government.
The boats are being turned back, as Abbott said they would
be, and much to the surprise of Shorten, Hanson-Young and SBY’s
ministers.
The extent to which military palms have been greased will
never be known, but there is no doubt they have been, using funds excised from
the aid budget.
We are witnessing an Abbott Government masterstroke overseen
by Morrison.
Abbott and Morrison quickly realised the Indonesian
Government was in a state of flux and the military the only political constant.
For SBY to have a barney with his military now would be bloody suicide and our,
and their, military understands that.
With as much humility as I can muster, Pickering Post has
been saying since early last year that Kevin Rudd’s boat disaster will only be
resolved through the military with money saved from potential future costs...
$14 billion so far, and as I said in a previous post, “five per cent of that
goes a long way in the military brass”.
Bill Shorten needs to learn to play chess. SH-Y needs to
stop playing with herself and either way it’s checkmate SBY! (“The Pickering
Post”)
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