On 1 July, the Abe Cabinet
issued a reinterpretation of Japan’s longstanding self-imposed ban on
the right of collective self-defence. It was justified as a minimalist
countermeasure to the increasingly severe security environment posed by a
rising China and an unpredictable, nuclearised North Korea. But the
reinterpretation fell well short of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s long-cherished
goal of formally amending the constitution and eradicating what he and others
criticise as the Japan’s over-reliance on US security guarantees as well as its
collective naiveté ‘about the minimum necessary measures for
our self-defence’.
Japan, Abe argues, must
prepare to share security burdens commensurate with that of a ‘responsible’
global and regional power.
From this
perspective, the reinterpretation represented little more than a logical next
step in a long sequence of prior security changes, including: expanding the
defence perimeter of the Maritime Self-Defense Forces; deploying the
Self-Defense Forces abroad to support United Nations peacekeeping operations
and US military actions in Afghanistan and Iraq; boosting the status of the
Defense Agency to that of a full-fledged ministry; and enhancing trilateral
military cooperation between the US, Australia and Japan.
But there
has been widespread public criticism of the reinterpretation of Article 9 —
thousands demonstrated, one man self-immolated at Shinjuku Station and the Abe
cabinet’s approval rating fell
to its lowest level since taking office at 45.2 per cent. In contrast, the US Defense Department
was quick to welcome the historic decision to enhance US-Japan alliance
security cooperation in the Asia Pacific. While security analysts will differ
on the inherent merits of collective self-defence per se, the decision raises
two interwoven problems that are particularly worrisome.
First, the
decision was made in a context of rapidly diminishing checks on executive
authority. In past decades, the combination of a vigorous political left,
internal Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) factionalism and electoral sensitivity
provided partial checks on executive branch autonomy. Yet the 1994 electoral
reforms, the Abe-led triumph in the 2012 elections and a distant electoral
horizon stretching into 2016 have combined to eviscerate all three.
The Cabinet Legislative Bureau (CLB) had
previously been a stalwart voice declaring that Article 9 prohibited collective
self-defence. But its new chairman, Abe-appointed acolyte Ichiro Komatsu, quickly telegraphed his
conviction that the cabinet, not the CLB, should decide matters of
constitutionality, declaring: ‘It is not correct for the Cabinet Legislation
Bureau unilaterally to decide “left” when the cabinet is thinking “right”’.
Japan’s public broadcaster, NHK — which is rarely the most independent of
voices, but is legally obliged to be non-partisan — was further muzzled by four
right-leaning Abe appointees who
explicitly committed NHK to toeing the government line.
Also, a
sweeping 2013 state secrecy law now
gags government whistle-blowers. And the once fulsome opposition to collective
self-defence reinterpretation by the LDP’s coalition partner, New Komeito,
evaporated once the party faced the choice between its peace-oriented
principles and bringing down the Abe government.
None of
this is to suggest that Japan remains anything less than a vibrant democracy,
but executive power — in the absence of meaningful checks — risks evolving into
an ‘unguarded guardian’.
Second, and
equally troubling, are the nationalistic trappings surrounding collective
self-defence. Frictions following the decision might have been eased if Abe had
focused the bulk of his policy efforts on his key election promise:
restructuring the national economy. Collective self-defence could then have
been packaged as just one small piece of a multifaceted effort to resuscitate
Japanese leadership across a range of issues.
But, before
and after taking office, Abe has repeatedly challenged Article 9, dismissing
the constitution as a sovereignty-eviscerating manifestation of ‘victor’s
justice’. Equally vociferous are his claims that Japan’s pre-war history has
been unfairly castigated. Abe’s scepticism about the merits of prior apologies
for the Japanese government’s wartime behaviour, including its role in
providing sex slaves for the Japanese military, has also been divisive.
Abe has
justified politically provocative visits to Yasukuni Shrine
by senior politicians, including his own in December 2013, as no more than
manifestations of personal spiritual ‘beliefs’. And Taro Aso, the deputy
prime minister and finance minister, was caught in a gaffe where he suggested
that Japan could learn from the Nazis’ stealth in revising a democratic constitution.
In such a climate it is impossible to evaluate security-based arguments
concerning collective self-defence solely on their merits. Instead, they are
tabled as no more than appetisers whetting the palate for a larger entrée of
revisionist nationalism.
Collective
self-defence in itself is likely to have minimal short-to-medium term impact on
Japan’s grand security strategy. Yet, in the context of sweeping historical
revisionism and executive overreach, the constitutional reinterpretation
provides an easy-to-wallop piñata for nationalistic South Korean and Chinese
leaders anxious to bolster their own domestic support. In addition to poisoning
a once blossoming trilateral cooperation among China, Japan and South Korea,
recent Abe-led actions have also stymied trilateral security cooperation
among erstwhile allies Japan, South Korea and the US. The end result will likely
be a more regionally isolated and less tolerant Japan.
T J Pempel
is Jack M. Forcey Professor of Political Science, University of California,
Berkeley.
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