Sunday, June 8, 2014

Tony Abbott is testing the friendship with Indonesia


Tony Abbott will have to work much harder to show he is a reliable friend to Indonesian President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono.

If Indonesia's President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono "is one of the best friends we've ever had", as Tony Abbott has frequently stated, then Australia's Prime Minister has not been afraid to test that friendship.

Mr Abbott's uncompromising turn-back-the-boats policy has been an affront to the country those boats were being turned back to, even before the Royal Australian Navy breached Indonesian territorial waters on five occasions.
 

"Their unilateral policy coerces asylum seekers, threatens them and violates their human rights – and the policy doesn't bear fruit,'' said Indonesian Foreign Minister Marty Natalegawa, only last month.

These simmering tensions were exacerbated by Mr Abbott’s clumsy handling of revelations that his predecessors had tapped the phones of Mr Yudhoyono and his wife. US President Barack Obama and Germany's Angela Merkel had provided a template for how to defuse an identical situation without conceding interests but Mr Abbott chose not to take it.

Now, the two nations are close to signing a code of conduct on intelligence sharing and Mr Abbott’s hardline policies appear to have born fruit, to use Mr Natalegawa’s phrase.

And, crucially, Mr Abbott was correct in his estimation of the Indonesian President.
 

On Wednesday, the two leaders stood together on Batam island, off the north coast of Sumatra, to restart the project of building a productive, respectful and enduring bilateral relationship.

"We both discussed efforts to safeguard and to further enhance our co-operation and also our partnership – the partnership between our two nations, our two countries – so that we may come closer to a future that is much better based upon the principles of mutual benefit and mutual respect," Mr Yudhoyono said, after he had invited Mr Abbott to stop over on his way to Europe and North America.

By now, the necessity of building robust relations with our northern neighbour should be self-evident. Indonesia has the world's fourth largest population and it is home to the world’s largest Muslim population. It is a major source of students and a destination for tourists.

The Indonesian economy has grown rapidly to become the 10th largest in the world, on the World Bank’s measure of purchasing power parity. And it is rediscovering its position as the natural leader of the ASEAN nations of south-east Asia, following its transition from Suharto's dictatorship.

Increasingly, Indonesia and Australia are finding they have common ground in the South China Sea, on the northern edge of Indonesia’s maritime boundary, where China has been testing its territorial frontiers. This, no doubt, is what Mr Yudhoyono was referring to when he told reporters he and Mr Abbott had discussed "dynamics and the latest developments in our region".

Still, despite the growing alignment of interests on both sides, Mr Yudhoyono did not have to make this generous overture in the midst of a domestically-focused election cycle. Indeed, he had been under considerable pressure to "get tough" with his southern counterpart.

"He's known as Australia's best friend, and no wonder,” the University of Indonesia's Evi Fitriani told Associated Press last week.

The onus is on Mr Abbott to make the most of the olive branch Mr Yudhoyono has extended.

To his credit, Mr Abbott has signalled that this is exactly what he intends to do.

On Wednesday, he drew attention to the "marvellous legacy" of "Bapak" Yudhoyono, using the respectful term for father.

"This is a very important relationship to me, it's a very important relationship to my country – in some respects, our most important relationship given Indonesia's size, proximity and potential as one of the emerging democratic superpowers of Asia," Mr Abbott said.

In August, Indonesia will achieve a milestone in its democratic transition by directly electing a new president, for the second time in its history. To date, neither of the leading candidates, Prabowo Subianto and Joko "Jokowi" Widodo, has shown much interest in foreign policy. They will have to be convinced of enduring common interests before spending political capital on building relations with their southern neighbour, when so much of the action in the region will take place to their north.

After the departure of "one of the best friends we've ever had", Mr Abbott will have to work much harder to show he is a reliable friend of the emerging democratic superpower of south-east Asia.

SMH

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