The ties of
terror that bind
Countering Islamic State is a way to strengthen Australia-Indonesia relations.
Countering Islamic State is a way to strengthen Australia-Indonesia relations.
The emergence of the Islamic State (IS) in Syria and Iraq in early 2014
has refocused Australian government attention on terrorist threats abroad,
particularly in Indonesia.
Australia’s
concerns are well founded.
IS has
dramatically changed the dynamics within Indonesia’s jihadist communities. It
has had a deeply polarising effect on jihadist attitudes, with some well
established jihadist leaders and groups committing themselves to the new state
and its caliph, al-Baghdadi, while others emphatically declare their opposition
to it.
What has
attracted many of these jihadists to IS is its ability to defeat ‘infidel’
forces in battle, to conquer and hold territory, and to establish a functioning
caliphate within which Islamic law is comprehensively implemented. These
practical and symbolic aspects of IS give it great potency in the minds of many
jihadists.
According
to Indonesian police figures, 157 jihadists are known to have joined the
conflict in Syria and Iraq, but the real figure probably exceeds 200. Of these,
11 have been killed in action and 11 have returned home.
Several
major concerns arise from IS’s activity. First, IS has succeeded in
re-legitimising the concept of attacking foreign non-combatants, especially
non-Muslims. Most Indonesian jihadist groups had moved away from this
foreigner-centric viewpoint since the mid-2000s and had concentrated their
efforts either on Indonesian officials, such as police and prosecutors, or on
non-violent outreach and educational activities.
Following
IS’s emergence last year, web and blog-sites espousing its views have quickly
sprung up, often featuring translations into Indonesian of IS publications such
as its glossy online Dabiq magazine. This has fostered discussion in
jihadist circles that foreigners in Indonesia are valid targets.
Second,
there is a heightened risk that returning fighters from Syria and Iraq will
pass on their technical skills in fields such as bomb making, sniping and
covert operations to less experienced recruits. In recent years in Indonesia,
many of the newly emergent terrorist cells have comprised young, ‘clean skin’
jihadists who are highly motivated but lack the expertise to mount large
attacks. Thus, IS veterans might enable a new generation of Indonesia-based
terrorists to acquire the highly lethal capacity that the perpetrators of the
2002 Bali bombing – most of whom were Afghanistan veterans – possessed.
Indonesian
government responses to IS threat have been far more concerted than earlier
efforts against terrorist groups such as Jemaah Islamiyah (JI) and the Noordin
Network. Senior government figures from the president down have condemned IS
and the movement was outlawed in mid-2014, something that never happened to JI.
Police have arrested several dozen people for suspected IS-related activity but
most have been released without charge.
Government
funding has also been forthcoming for community-level anti-IS campaigns,
resulting in many hundreds, possibly thousands of villages across the country
displaying anti-IS banners and posters.
It should
be noted, however, that much of this government and community opposition to IS
is more a product of the perceived threat which the movement poses to
Indonesian nationalism rather than an objection to its advocacy of terrorism or
revulsion at its acts of brutality within its own borders. Much of the official
discourse against IS focuses on its seditious impact rather than its
extreme violence.
For the
Australian government, the rising threat of terrorism in Indonesia poses
serious concerns. Pro-IS jihadists probably regard Australian citizens and
assets as suitable targets, and indeed, Australia is often mentioned as an
enemy in jihadist literature. Almost one million Australians visit Indonesia
annually, mainly to Bali, and there are thousands more who are resident in the
country.
Unlike a
decade ago, there are now fewer opportunities for Australian police to assist
their Indonesian counterparts with new technology and in-the-field
collaboration. Indonesian police now have sophisticated databases and computer
analytical tools, as well as vastly improved forensic capabilities compared to
the time of the 2002 Bali bombings.
A more
assertively nationalistic political mood in Indonesia also crimps possibilities
for security cooperation. Senior politicians openly query the benefit to
Indonesia of close police and intelligence ties. Such remarks were less
frequent during the Yudhoyono presidency (2004-2014).
Perhaps
the single most effective option remains that of maximising counter-terrorism
cooperation between the two nations’ police forces. In particular, greater
effort could be made to improve the effectiveness of the National
Counter-Terrorism Agency (BNPT).
At
present, BNPT’s de-radicalisation and terrorist disengagement programs are
patchy and ineffective, and its analytical capacity in tracing ideological and
organisational trends in the jihadist community is also limited. As a result,
much of BNPT’s counter-terrorism outreach fails to target those groups most
susceptible to terrorist recruitment and instead gives too much attention to
mainstream attitudes.
Broader
Australian-sponsored programs for exchange between the Muslim communities of
both countries will also serve to undermine some of the negative stereotypes
that exist about Australia’s treatment of its Muslim citizens.
Australia
should also resist efforts by the Indonesian military (TNI) for a greater
counter-terrorism (CT) role. The current Defence Minister, ex-general Ryamizard
Ryacudu, and the TNI commander, General Moeldoko, have declared their interest
in TNI sharing or leading CT efforts with the police. This would be a
regressive step as the military have little expertise in terrorism
investigation and analysis and are inclined to heavy-handed approaches that may
well exacerbate tensions between the state and hardline Islamic groups.
By
contrast, Indonesia’s police have an excellent record in detecting and
apprehending terrorists, as well as managing released jihadists. Unfortunately,
in one of his few public remark on terrorism since becoming president, Joko
Widodo warned police that he would hand over counter-terrorism operations in
the trouble province of Central Sulawesi to TNI if the police failed to catch
the MIT leader, Santoso.
In
responding to the rising IS threat in Indonesia, the Australian government
should seek to avoid some of the mistakes of the immediate post-Bali bombing
period. At that time, much our public diplomacy was simplistic and
condescending.
Australian
political leaders regularly lectured Indonesian Muslim leaders regarding the
nature of their faith and need to combat terrorism within their communities.
Muslims were boxed into simple moderate versus radical categories and foreign
non-Muslim leaders often sermonised about the ‘true nature of Islam’ being
peaceful, despite knowing little or nothing about the faith. This often
irritated Muslim leaders and reinforced impressions that Australia was using
counter-terrorism to cloak strategic or ideological motivations.
Australia
should rightly maintain counter-terrorism as a high-priority in its relations
with Indonesia. But avoiding glib or reductionist rhetoric on the matter will
ensure a more sympathetic reaction. In the domestically focused Widodo era,
Indonesia can be expected to respond best to Australian initiatives if they are
seen as serving a national interest.
Countering
IS in one field where both nations share a clear mutual interest.
Associate Professor Greg Fealy researches
Indonesian politics and jihadist ideology at the Coral Bell School of Asia
Pacific Affairs, The Australian National University.
This
article is based on the latest paper in the ANU Strategic and Defence Studies
Centre’s Centre of
Gravity series, ‘A strategy
towards Indonesia’.
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