Could returning fighters
extend Islamic State into Southeast Asia?
Since
peaking in the years between 1990 and 2004, the activities of terrorist
organisations in Indonesia have significantly declined thanks to the
government’s counter-terrorism efforts after the Bali bombings. However,
developments in Syria and Iraq threaten to encourage a resurgence of terrorist
organisations in Indonesia and throughout the region.
After the
self-proclaimed Islamic State (IS) declared it had established a caliphate on
29 June 2014, foreigners from around the world have been drawn to Syria and
Iraq to participate in the ongoing conflict. Among these individuals, it is
estimated that between 100 and 300 Indonesians have volunteered to join and
fight for IS.
While it
seems that many of the individuals who decide to travel to the Middle East to
fight for IS don’t intend to return, it remains a possibility that some
Indonesian jihadists wish to continue terrorist activities at home after
fighting. The ambitions of these returning jihadists are a cause for concern.
It may even be that some are intending to return to Indonesia in order to wage
jihad in the interest of expanding the caliphate that IS has established.
This
threat derives from the ambitions of Islamist radicals from Indonesia and the
expansionist nature of a caliphate. In the Islamic State’s interpretation of
Islam, in order to prevent ‘idleness’, Muslims are obliged to wage jihad in the
service of the caliph and expand its territory.
Abu
Mohammad al-Adnani, the senior spokesman for IS declared in August 2013 that;
“Our goal is to establish an Islamic state that doesn’t recognise borders, on
the Prophetic methodology.” And Indonesian members of the Islamic State want to
establish an expanded caliphate into Southeast Asia.
In July
2014 Indonesians fighting alongside Malaysian jihadists in the Middle East
formed a Bahasa speaking unit within the ranks of IS. This group is
committed to establishing a Daulah Islamiyah Nusantara (Islamic State
Archipelago), an archipelagic Southeast Asian caliphate. Known as Katibah
Nusantara, members from this group that are intending to return to
Indonesia could facilitate a renewal of terrorist activity that could spread
across Indonesia, Malaysia and the Philippines. Some members of this Malay
speaking unit of IS have formidable contacts with terrorist organisations that
are known to have remained active throughout Indonesia.
On 4
August 2014, an Islamic State propaganda video titled Joining the Ranks
appeared on YouTube. This eight-minute call to arms released by al-Hayat Media
Center, the propaganda wing of Islamic State operations, featured a man who
identifies as ‘Abu Muhammad al-Indunisi’. In Bahasa, al-Indunisi demands
other Muslim-Indonesian people travel to the Middle East to participate in
jihad and defend the caliphate.
Al-Indunisi
has been identified as Bahrum Syah, from Banten, 25 kilometres from Jakarta. A
former student of the Syarif Hidayatullah State Islamic University (UIN), Syah
has links to the Mujahidin Indonesia Timur (East Indonesia Mujahideen),
usually referred to as the MIT.
In recent
years, the MIT has evolved into a network of terrorist organisations with
high-ranking members who are connected to jihadist groups in Indonesia and
abroad. On 1 July 2014, the MIT publically pledged allegiance to IS.
This
raises the possibility that individuals returning from fighting with IS could
increase inter-group cooperation under the MIT network of terrorist
organisations. For example, it is known that Jemaah Ansharut Tauhid
(JAT), another Indonesian terrorist group, wishes to establish an Islamic
caliphate throughout the archipelago.
Along
with obtaining training, combat experience and leadership skills from the
Islamic State, it is likely that individuals within the Katibah Nusantara
group will have developed broader contacts with international jihadists who are
willing to support their Indonesian counterparts.
Even
those who have not left home to join the conflict in the Middle East have been
connecting online with IS supporters in Malaysia and the Philippines. According
to a report
from the Institute for Policy Analysis of Conflict, it is already apparent that
Islamic State supporters from Indonesia and Malaysia are ‘friending’ each other
from pro-IS associated Facebook pages.
While
there are only 127 Indonesians confirmed to be fighting with IS, reportedly as
many as 2,000 people throughout Indonesia have pledged allegiance to the group.
If Indonesian jihadists returning from fighting in the Islamic State began to
expand the influence and operations of terror networks throughout the archipelago,
they could soon have a significant support base. From this support base,
terrorists could easily recruit volunteers and spread their influence more
widely.
The
returning jihadists and local Islamic State sympathisers will attempt to expand
their influence, and given their connections to the MIT network of terrorist
organisations, pose a serious threat to the security of Indonesia.
After
achieving relative success in reducing the activities of terrorist groups in
Indonesia, the government now faces the potential for increased momentum and
revitalisation of Islamist violence.
Jeremy Wilson is a research assistant and
recently completed an arts degree at the University of Wollongong, majoring in
history. His thesis examined anticolonial ideology and its influence on the
1963-66 Konfrontasi.
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