The
Republic of Korea’s economic miracle story of the late twentieth century has
often been hailed as strong evidence of the United States’ success with its
post–World War II East Asia policy. Washington’s security commitment to Seoul
has undeniably provided a strong foundation for the latter to survive and
thrive on a divided peninsula, whose peace is under constant threats from both
sides of the DMZ. Doug Bandow’s counterargument to my earlier piece on the National Interest
claims that Washington should withdraw its troops from Korean soil for the
following reasons.
First, he claims that the Korean Peninsula does not matter much to the
security of the United States, for the collapse of South Korea would not bring
North Korea any closer to American soil. Second, that Washington should not
waste its resources serving as a deterrent to the two Koreas and defending a
much more prosperous and well-armed Seoul against decrepit and nuclear-armed
Pyongyang, because such an act allows South Korea to free ride without
seriously considering improving its military stature. And finally, that
withdrawing American troops would break the current deadlock on denuclearizing
negotiations with North Korea and assure Pyongyang that America is not a danger
to its survival, thus putting an end to the North Korean question.
But these three reasons do not make persuasive arguments for troop
withdrawal when considering the following factors.
The first entails America’s security and economic interests in South
Korea and in East Asia as a whole. This region is in a middle of an economic
boom that has brought about tremendous wealth, not only for Asians but also for
Americans. China, Japan and South Korea are all on the list of the United States’ top ten trade partners, and
in return, the three countries all have the United States included in their
top-five lists. Apparently, America played a vital role in bringing about the Asian
economic miracle. The presence of its armed forces in the region reduces the
chance of conflict between Japan and China; prevents states like Taiwan, South
Korea and Japan from seeking nuclear weapons; and enforces an open trade–based
environment that binds East Asian countries together. No Asian country can take
on America’s job as a regional policeman, for each lacks both credibility and
legitimacy in the eyes of its neighbors.
The United States clearly understands that in order to continue
benefiting from East Asia’s economic growth and avoid a breakdown of the
regional order, it must prevent all sources of instability on the Korean
Peninsula from erupting into full-scale wars. As stated in my previous post,
the presence of American troops has helped achieve this end, because it
simultaneously deters attacks from North Korea and constrains dangerous
retaliating actions from South Korea. Bandow has stated that “the chief danger
on the Korean peninsula is not aggression but mistake,” and I believe that
pulling out U.S. troops is more likely to increase miscalculations between the
two Koreas than not doing so. Deterrence does fail, sometimes; however, look at
how deterrence kept the United States and the Soviet Union from fighting one
another, or how America’s show of force gives it the dominating position in
international affairs, or how America’s presence on Korean soil has preserved
the peace for more than sixty years. It is evident that Washington must keep
its troops stationed in South Korea, because a damaged trading system in East
Asia resulting from conflicts would cost America a higher price than that of
maintaining its military presence. Moreover, the collapse of South Korea would
not bring North Korean troops closer to American soil, but it would definitely
take away thousands of American jobs and push American troops in the region to
a passive position.
Critics of the U.S.–South Korea alliance often fear that the guarantee
of an American security umbrella for Seoul may prompt the junior partner to act
in a provocative manner, which would drag Washington into unnecessary conflicts
with Pyongyang. However, these fears ignore one important element in the
bilateral relationship. Since 1978, U.S. Forces in Korea and the South Korean
army have merged their forces and formed the Combined Forces Command. Under the
structure of the CFC, American and South Korean commanders share the control of
the joint forces, which means neither side can make military decisions without
the consent of the other. This measures helps America allay the fear of
entrapment, because South Korea cannot carry out unilateral provocative acts
against North Korea.
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