Indonesia’s President Jokowi lacks leadership on corruption
After eight months in office Jokowi looks surprisingly conservative, out of
touch, and out of his depth.
As an outsider to the
Jakarta establishment, his tenure was always going to marked by a mishmash of
deal making and confrontation, especially with his own PDI-P party and its
leader, former president Megawati Sukarnoputri.
Her determination to dictate to the president on personnel and policy matters
has far exceeded analysts’ predictions. Jokowi’s surprising weakness in the
face of lobbying from Megawati and other oligarchs has vindicated critics who
brand him a ‘puppet’ of party bosses.
Serious moves to shake up
over-regulated and protected sections of the economy are off the table so long
as his relationship with the political elite remains tense. A widely-applauded
boost to infrastructure spending is being largely channelled through
state-owned firms to keep rent seekers and ideologues happy. Fear of bad polls
is also behind the partial reversal of the brave decision, made during his
brief political honeymoon, to scrap Indonesia’s ruinously expensive petrol
subsidies. It seems that, under Jokowi, Indonesia’s economy will continue to
muddle through, with reform as constrained by the political economy of
corruption as ever.
Politics has also spilled
over into Indonesia’s foreign relations. Jokowi’s lack of interest in the wider
world was expected to lead to foreign policy technocrats taking the lead. To
some extent this has been true. Yet the president’s focus on the home front
means that decisions made for domestic political reasons, such as executing
foreign drug convicts and sinking illegal fishing boats, are made without
serious consideration of their effects on Indonesia’s reputation and
relationships abroad.
The fight against high-level
corruption has also suffered. Under pressure from Megawati, Jokowi
shocked the public with an attempt to appoint a police chief tainted by serious
allegations of graft. Indonesia’s most respected law enforcement institution,
the Corruption Eradication Commission (KPK), has been cowed by sustained
attacks from a police force increasingly hostile to reform.
Jokowi’s appointment of
political party figures to head the Attorney-General’s department and law
ministry shows how little importance he places on cleaning up the justice
system. More concerning still have been quiet efforts by the military to get
back into areas of civilian governance — such as delivering rural development programs
and providing security for government facilities — from which reformers had
extricated it.
Jokowi still has several
years to prove he is capable of making Indonesia’s economy more competitive and
its government less corrupt — that is, if he wants to. But some insiders now
worry that he simply lacks the appetite to take on vested interests whatever
the political circumstances.
Liam Gammon is a PhD
candidate at the College of Asia and the Pacific, the Australian National
University.
This article appeared in
the most recent edition of the East Asia Forum Quarterly, ‘Leadership in the region‘.
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