Thailand's
coup leader-turned-prime minister Prayuth Chan-ocha is on a mission to secure
legitimacy for his junta government as he travels to three Asian neighbours
this month.
Troubled by
international condemnation over his May 22 coup, analysts say Prayuth is eager
to shore up support and attract foreign investment from closer to home as he
meets leaders of Malaysia, South Korea and Japan.
Prayuth and
his interim junta government, formally known as the National Council for Peace
and Order, took power after the bloodless coup that they said was to end six
months of political deadlock aimed at removing the government of former prime
minister Yingluck Shinawatra.
But the
military intervention stirred international condemnation and some Western
countries have downgraded diplomatic ties with the junta government.
Since then, Prayuth and his government have taken steps to polish their
image. Thai ambassadors and general consuls deployed in 21 countries, for
example, have been tasked to explain and defend the coup.
Prayuth may also be asked why Thailand is delaying elections - initially
promised for late next year - to 2016.
"They [the military-led government] care about the image, because
this would justify the coup," said Kan Yuenyong, executive director of
Bangkok-based independent think tank Siam Intelligence Unit.
This month's trips would provide an opportunity for Prayuth to foster
ties with Asian neighbours that are generally less openly critical of the coup
than Western democracies, Kan said.
While facing intense criticism from Western heavyweights such as the
United States and the European Union in the first few months since the coup,
the junta government reached out to its Asian neighbours.
Shortly after the coup, a military delegation visited China for talks on
joint and regional training. Many analysts saw this as part of Bangkok's
attempt to counter pressure from the West by edging closer to Beijing.
In October, Prayuth made Myanmar the destination for his first official
visit.
In a visit to Malaysia today, the former army chief will likely seek to
shore up ties with a close neighbour that will hold the chair of the
Association of South Asian Nations (Asean) next year, said Paul Chambers,
director of research at Chiang Mai University's Institute for Southeast Asian
Affairs.
Prayuth is also expected to attend talks abridged by the Malaysian
government with Malay-Muslim rebels blamed for the insurgency in southern
Thailand.
In South Korea and Japan next week, Prayuth's focus will shift to
achieving legitimacy and obtaining both aid and foreign investment, Chambers
said.
Prayuth will be in South Korea to attend the Asean-South Korea
Commemorative Summit on December 11-12.
A South Korean diplomatic source said President Park Geun-hye was likely
to discuss the suspension of a multibillion-dollar flood control project
involving South Korean company Korea Water Resources Corp, also known as
K-water.
Construction on the project - signed by former South Korean president
Lee Myung-bak and Yingluck in 2011 - has been suspended since the military-led
government took power.
Meanwhile, Japan has been pushing for high-speed railway projects in
Thailand and wants to kickstart the Dawei Special Economic Zone in Myanmar, an
industrial zone that will include a deep-sea port, in cooperation with
Thailand.
Although the military government has promised to bring democratically
elected leadership back next year, doubts and criticisms have lingered over the
country's deteriorating political stability and human rights abuses.
In the first few months of the junta's leadership, many Western
countries imposed soft sanctions on Thailand over human rights problems.
In an official trip to Europe in October, Prayuth sought to deflate
criticism and defend his government to Western leaders.
But analysts have cast doubts over whether this has worked.
"Prayuth desperately seeks such legitimacy, and recent events like
the banning of the Hunger Games salute have made the government look
sillier and sillier, more draconinan and more out of touch with the
21st-century world," said Joshua Kurlantzick, a senior fellow for
Southeast Asia with the Council on Foreign Relations.
But in what could be seen as a diplomatic victory for Prayuth, the US
recently agreed to go ahead with next year's Cobra Gold military exercise.
There had been calls for Washington to cancel the exercise - the largest
multinational drill in the Asia-Pacific and a key symbol highlighting the
significance of bilateral military relations - as a gesture of disapproval in
the coup.
Analysts said the Thai government had pressed hard to ensure the
exercise would take place - while Washington struggled to commit. But
ultimately, geopolitical considerations and the rivalry for diplomatic
influence with China might have helped Prayuth and his government.
"Washington has returned to support Bangkok irrespective of the
latter's dictatorial regime," Chambers said. "The US is afraid that
China might otherwise dominate economic relations with Thailand."
This article appeared in the South China Morning Post print edition as
Prayuth's careful mission for legitimacy
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