It is fitting that the symbol of
Jakarta, known as the “Big Durian,” is the durian fruit, which has inspired a
long-running debate about when it is ready to eat. To his supporters, the
governor of the Big Durian is mature enough now, and no arguments to the
contrary will convince them otherwise.
But for the rest of Indonesia,
America’s experience with Obama the past five years should be enough to give
pause that sometimes, it’s better to wait a little longer for the best fruit to
ripen.
In 1949, a young press attache was
dispatched from Jakarta to New York, with the difficult task of convincing the
American public to support young Indonesians in their fight against Dutch
forces that had ruled Indonesia for more than a century.
Realizing that Indonesia, like
America before it, was seeking to create a sovereign nation by breaking the
colonial ties that bound it to a single European power, he produced an eloquent
paper that harkened back to the year America declared independence from Great
Britain. Its provocative title? “It’s 1776 in Indonesia.”
It would be half a century — through
five decades of dictatorship — before the Indonesian people would experience
true independence. But as this Muslim-majority democracy of 250 million
approaches the third consecutive direct election of its president by its people
in 2014, the apt analogy to America isn’t 1776, but 2008.
That was the year that a 47-year-old
former community organizer, state senator and first-term United States Senator
with a thin public record and a golden speaking voice was elected President of
the United States.
But now, some Indonesians believe
they have a Barack Obama of their own in the form of a 52-year-old former
furniture dealer, small-town mayor and first-term governor with a thin public
record and a golden speaking voice who is hailed as a hero during his frequent
visits to Jakarta’s streets.
Just as Obama was lauded for being a
“fresh and exciting voice in American politics,” Jakarta Governor Joko Widodo
is praised as an “open and approachable” public official who “represents a
clear break” from “the traditional power centers of Indonesian politics.”
While he is not yet a declared
candidate, many Indonesians hope that Joko can do for Indonesia what Obama is
perceived to have done for America.
But if you were to ask millions of
Obama supporters today who are disillusioned with his leadership, they would
say: proceed with caution. As the New York Times recently put it, “deep in his
fifth year in office, Mr. Obama finds himself frustrated by members of his own
party weary of his leadership and increasingly willing to defy him.”
It’s not that Obama hasn’t realized
some significant achievements since becoming president. But there is a gnawing
sense that if he had waited a while longer to run, he might have truly been a
great president.
But as it stands, his immense promise
is going largely unrealized, in part because the deep concerns over his
inexperience in confronting entrenched bureaucracies have proven to be
well-founded. While he understood Chicago politics, he never gave himself the
chance to learn how Washington works.
This is an old question in
democracies: how much experience does a president need? In truth, the only way
to really gain the experience necessary to be president is to actually be
president. And if millions were clamoring for their candidacy, not many public
officials would turn away from running for president.
In 2006, Obama himself understood
that inexperience can work in a candidate’s favor, writing, “I am new enough on
the political scene that I serve as a blank screen on which people of vastly
different political stripes project their own views.” To a disenchanted
Indonesian electorate, so little is known about Jokowi that he — unlike more
established candidates — can be all things to all people.
The problem is that the primary
challenge facing each country — whether it is deep political partisanship in
the US or endemic corruption in Indonesia — are cultural challenges that
require a president to understand how the entrenched system works well enough
to change it.
A president can propose a law to
overhaul health care or improve education, but there is no law that can simply
overcome partisanship or corruption. There is no political candidate in recent
memory that thrilled audiences more than Obama with his appeals to
bipartisanship.
But once his rhetoric confronted the
reality of a system that didn’t want to play along, he didn’t have any answers
— just more speeches. As a result, America’s entrenched partisanship is as bad
as it’s ever been, as the government shutdown in Washington proves.
Would the same happen to Jokowi and
corruption? Nobody really knows, but there is little to suggest that he would
have the street-smarts or experience to outmaneuver those who wish to continue
benefitting from corruption.
There is much to commend about the
eight years he spent as the popular mayor of tiny Surakarta, also known as Solo
— although the nation’s other primary problem, growing Islamic radicalism,
worsened under his rule to the point that Solo has become a national epicenter
of religious intolerance.
While his 12 months as governor of
Jakarta are off to a promising start, flooding and traffic are as bad as
they’ve always been, in part because he hasn’t had time to see his ideas
through. And that’s really the point: maybe Jokowi should wait until he can
prove that he’s able to solve the problems of a city of 10 million before he
claims he can solve the problems of a country of 250 million.
It is fitting that the symbol of
Jakarta, known as the “Big Durian,” is the durian fruit, which has inspired a
long-running debate about when it is ready to eat. To his supporters, the
governor of the Big Durian is mature enough now, and no arguments to the
contrary will convince them otherwise.
But for the rest of Indonesia,
America’s experience with Obama the past five years should be enough to give
pause that sometimes, it’s better to wait a little longer for the best fruit to
ripen.
Stanley Weiss, a global mining
executive and founder of Washington-based Business Executives for National
Security, has been widely published on domestic and international issues for
four decades.
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