An important aspect of the current reform era
in Myanmar is the retreat of the Tatmadaw (the Myanmar Armed Forces) from the
day to day workings of government.
This is the case despite (or perhaps because) the current
Union of Solidarity and Development Party government is comprised primarily of
serving or retired military officers. In particular, the reconfiguration of the
political system and the relaxations on civil society has allowed and
encouraged new participants in the
political process. The military is now prepared to work with their former
enemies, as demonstrated by the growing prominence of Aung San Suu Kyi and the
National League for Democracy Party in Parliament, and improved relations with
the West.
These changes are an important development for an underpinning rationale of the
Tatmadaw’s rule — that is, the ‘praetorian ethos’ or belief that
they are the only institution capable of defining and protecting the interests
of the state in a perceived hostile environment of multiple threats. By
engaging with other participants, the Tatmadaw are opening new pathways which
could fundamentally change this stance.
Yet the Tatmadaw retains authority in constitutional matters
and control of security portfolios, which demonstrate the persistence of the
praetorian ethos. They are an independent organisation not subject to
parliamentary oversight, with direct control of the ministries of Defense,
Interior and Border, and have a majority on the powerful National Defense and
Security Council, the country’s most important executive body.
If Myanmar is to continue to evolve into a free and
democratic system, civil–military relations must be fundamentally transformed.
But encouraging the military’s continued retrenchment from the government will
be a long-term process. It will most likely be made
up of incremental changes so that the Tatmadaw can carve out a new
institutional identity and position within the political structure. The
immediate challenge is to create room for civilian involvement in security
matters, but the eventual goal would be for the military to move from a
position of completely directing the process to one of advising the government
and carrying out directives.
Ethnic unrest is the major arena for determining the future
of civil–military relations. Burma’s ethnic minorities, who represent a third
of the population, have been victims of decades’ long military campaigns and
atrocities, so they are weary of the military’s continued political
involvement. Although initially overshadowed by a focus on democratisation,
ethnic matters are one of the most important issues facing Myanmar and moves
towards a federation will most likely be the next major area of reform.
But ethnic tensions go beyond adversarial relations with the
military and exist in a larger societal context of ethnic mistrust and
hostility. The military and police have also been accused of allowing civilians
to attack ethnic minorities, raising suspicions they are promoting ethnic
strife. If the breakdown in ethnic relations led to Myanmar’s destabilisation,
the military could use this situation as justification for reasserting itself
in the political sphere.
The Myanmar government (and the opposition as a potential
government in waiting) must take certain steps if they want to reduce ethnic
tensions, and build new relations with ethnic minorities. They
must be willing and able to strictly control military activities in ethnic
regions. The military as a national institution has a vital role to play in
this process of reconciliation but civilian control must be cemented to ensure
ethnic violence does not become a strictly ‘security’ matter under the
exclusive purview of military authority.
Myanmar is in a period of transition from direct military rule
to civilian control, but there is no guarantee the political system will
eventually be free from the Tatmadaw’s interference. The process of
democratisation stemming from military rule in other Asian states such as South
Korea, Indonesia and more problematically Thailand included a transition period
marked by the gradual retrenchments of the military from the political system.
So reformers in Myanmar must cautiously and slowly work with the military to
rearrange their duties and responsibilities while making deeper normative
changes in the civilian–military relationship. Already there are tentative
signs this process is underway in the division of foreign relations, with
Tatmadaw generals meeting their military counterparts and leaving diplomatic
meetings to government representatives.
The inability to resolve ethnic conflicts poses a great
threat to national unity. Ethnic relations is the issue which will determine
the extent to which civilian authorities can become involved in security issues
and include them in a wider policy process of ethnic reconciliation. The
military’s acceptance of the legitimacy and competency of civilian governments
to direct and determine security policy will be put to the test. Ultimately,
the willingness of the Tatmadaw to abandon its praetorian ethos of directing
the political process, specifically over security policy areas, will determine
whether the system remains primarily in the service of regime maintenance or
becomes an arena of increasingly diverse, free and fair political discord with
the possibility of power being assumed by those that are non-military.
Adam P. MacDonald is an independent researcher based in
Halifax, Canada. East Asia Forum
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