A former president is detained ahead of elections, threatening stability
POLITICS in Mongolia has been
rough-and-tumble since 1990, when the country escaped Soviet domination to
become a vibrant if imperfect democracy. But when scores of security forces
raided the home of a former president, Nambariin Enkhbayar, and detained him
over what officials call a serious case of corruption, politics took a new and
ugly turn.
Police first confronted Mr Enkhbayar
on April 12th as he returned to his home in the capital, Ulaanbaatar. Witnesses
say police broke his car window and assaulted his government bodyguard, but Mr
Enkhbayar managed to enter his house. Supporters rushed to the site, and police
staked the place out before forcing their way in and taking him away early the
next morning. Many watched this live on television.
The raid has aroused two reactions
in the public. One is surprise at the high degree of force deployed in the raid
and the low degree of decorum afforded to a former leader taken away barefoot
and with a bag over his head. The other is the belief that the case has more to
do with rabidly partisan politics than corruption. Most of Mongolia’s top
officials, Mr Enkhbayar included, are widely thought to have enriched
themselves through their power and their oversight of the country’s lucrative
mining industry. Yet the vaguely described particulars of Mr Enkhbayar’s
supposed crime—alleged irregularities in the privatisation of a small hotel and
a local newspaper—strike many as unconvincing. Luvsandenvev Sumati of Sant
Maral, a polling firm, says that if authorities were serious about fighting
corruption, they would pursue bigger wrongs. The move against Mr Enkhbayar, he
says, was both clumsy and politically motivated.
The timing is fraught. Parliamentary
elections take place in late June. Last year Mr Enkhbayar left the parliament’s
majority party, descendant of the former Communists, to form a splinter party
of his own. His son, Batshugar Enkhbayar, says his father had already persuaded
six or seven members of parliament to switch.
Mr Enkhbayar senior has also earned
the enmity of President Tsakhiagiin Elbegdorj of the Democratic Party and the
first president who was not once a Communist. On the day of the raid, Mr
Enkhbayar had released internal government documents finding Mr Elbegdorj responsible
for inciting deadly violence that erupted after the last parliamentary
elections, in 2008.
The timing is poor for other
reasons, too. After huge foreign investment in mining, government revenues are
set to bulge. It presents the government with both the opportunity to deal with
inequality and poverty, and the task of avoiding the “resource curse” that has
afflicted other developing countries. Investors and the IMF had seen Mongolia
as a darling among emerging markets. That image suddenly looks fragile. The
Economist
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